Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
252 FXUS64 KEPZ 262317 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 417 PM MST Wed Nov 26 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 415 PM MST Wed Nov 26 2025 - Dry weather, with few clouds, mild temperatures, and generally light winds through the week, including Thanksgiving day. - Cooler temperatures arrive by Sunday with a low chance of precipitation on Monday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 936 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025 Quiet weather will continue over the region through Saturday. A high pressure ridge will build over the are the rest of today through Thursday. Afterwards, the ridge will erode into a flat westerly zonal flow Friday into Saturday. Thanksgiving Day will have pleasant weather. Mild weather conditions will prevail with mostly sunny skies with a few high clouds, generally light winds with some light breeziness Friday and Saturday afternoons. Temperatures will seasonably mild running a few degrees above normal Through the period. The weather pattern will begin to shift early Sunday as a cold front will start to push in from the east and begin to cool off temperatures back closer to normal. The front may stall out at the Rio Grande Valley before beginning to retreat back the east Sunday night into Monday. Winds will be east to southeasterly with stronger gusts along the west facing slopes of area mountains. A low pressure trough will move into the area from the Great Basin Sunday night into Monday. Models continue to have some uncertainty on the track of the system, but model run trends indicate that the trough will likely have less of an impact with lower chances for precip in the area with each succeeding run. That said there remains a slight chance of rain showers and mountain snow for Monday with much cooler temperatures expected. Afterwards, dry conditions will return to the region while we wait for the next weather system later next week. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 415 PM MST Wed Nov 26 2025 VFR conditions prevail through the forecast period. Winds remain AOB 6kts with some variability. FEW-SCT250 pass by with more widespread cirrus during the day tomorrow. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 936 AM MST Wed Nov 26 2025 Quiet weather conditions will prevail through the next several days. Main fire weather concern will be limited mixing heights and light winds, which will yield poor vent rates for much of the area this afternoon and Thursday. Expect significant improvement on Friday outside the Tularosa Basin as zonal flow aloft takes over. Weekend precip chances have dissipated. A fast moving trough will bring a slight uptick in northwest winds on Monday, and we`re hanging onto a slight chance for precip as it passes through during the day on Monday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 70 45 71 44 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 66 39 69 38 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 64 37 66 36 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 65 38 66 36 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 50 29 48 29 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 62 39 66 38 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 61 35 63 35 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 67 35 70 35 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 64 35 67 33 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 67 46 69 45 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 67 37 71 36 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 73 45 76 42 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 63 41 63 40 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 70 43 71 41 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 65 40 67 39 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 65 45 69 43 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 64 33 67 31 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 66 37 71 33 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 67 39 71 41 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 65 38 66 36 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 60 32 61 35 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 61 32 59 31 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 56 31 56 30 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 58 28 63 29 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 62 39 69 37 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 62 36 66 32 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 64 31 63 29 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 62 33 66 34 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 68 32 69 28 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 65 31 64 28 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 61 38 64 37 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 65 36 70 36 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 64 34 70 34 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 65 37 71 38 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 62 42 64 39 / 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ FORECASTER...39-Aronson