516
FXUS64 KEPZ 212335 AAA
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
435 PM MST Thu Nov 21 2024

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 434 PM MST Thu Nov 21 2024

 - Dry and mild weather through the weekend, temperatures expected
   to warm to well above normal by this weekend.

- Light winds expected through Saturday, then low end breezy
  conditions expected in the lowlands and breezy conditions in
  mountain areas expected through at least next Friday.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1238 PM MST Thu Nov 21 2024

Upper level ridging will continue to keep the area dry and
slightly above average for high temperatures. The area will climb
back into the 70s by the weekend and remain in that range through
most of next week. The ridge will start to weaken and transition
to a more zonal flow by next week. This will increase mid and
upper level cloud coverage which may increase the chances of nice
desert sunsets and sunrises but will also bring back breezy
conditions by Tuesday that will remain around through the rest of
the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 434 PM MST Thu Nov 21 2024

VFR conditions to prevail with light winds throughout the TAF
period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1238 PM MST Thu Nov 21 2024

High pressure over the area will keep fire concerns low through
the period. There will be slightly elevated conditions in the Gila
Region today and tomorrow with RH Values nearing single digits.
Light winds and wetter fuels will mitigate most of the threat
through.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  41  69  43  73 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            39  68  41  71 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               34  67  36  70 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               33  65  35  68 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               32  55  32  52 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    35  64  36  68 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              39  67  41  68 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   33  69  34  73 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                31  70  34  72 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       41  67  44  71 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                32  69  33  73 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             35  72  37  76 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               41  62  42  64 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   35  69  37  73 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             34  65  36  69 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           41  67  43  70 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            30  66  32  68 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    30  69  31  72 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 35  66  36  71 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                34  63  36  66 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  36  70  37  68 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                34  64  34  62 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 33  62  34  61 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  30  65  29  67 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                35  67  35  71 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                30  65  31  68 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             35  70  35  68 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   33  67  34  71 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    23  76  24  76 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               34  70  35  68 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  36  66  37  69 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   30  72  34  76 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  30  69  32  74 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           34  72  37  76 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               40  72  45  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...40-Breitreiter