Area Forecast Discussion
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358
FXUS64 KEPZ 061747
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1047 AM MST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1014 AM MST Sat Dec 6 2025

 - No significant weather impacts are expected through next week.

 - Dry conditions, typical afternoon breezes, and a gradual
   warming trend will occur this weekend through next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1014 AM MST Sat Dec 6 2025

Our persistent quiet pattern will continue through next week.
Strong high pressure just off the west coast is maintaining a
blocking pattern that will keep weather systems well north of the
local area. A northwest flow pattern aloft will maintain very dry
conditions with sunny skies and zero chances for precipitation
through to next weekend. Seasonal temperatures during the day will
gradually get warmer through the week with afternoon highs in the
lower 70s across the lowlands by mid week. With dry air in place,
overnight temperatures will continue to be on the colder side as
a result of radiative cooling processes near the ground due to
light winds, clear skies, and low humidities. During the day,
surface winds will increase into the breezy category with stronger
winds possible along the east slopes of area mountains.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1014 AM MST Sat Dec 6 2025

VFR conditions will persist with SKC skies. Breezy west southwest
winds can be expected this afternoon with the peak of the winds
being mid afternoon with speeds generally 15-18G25-28KT. Some
lingering breeziness expected after sunset but winds will continue
to diminish under 10 knots later in the evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1014 AM MST Sat Dec 6 2025

Low fire danger through the week ahead. Min RH values will stay
above critical thresholds with values of 20-30% in the lowlands
and 30-40% in the mountains the next few days. Isolated locations
of critical min RHs expected each afternoon Tuesday through
Thursday, mostly on east facing slopes of mountains. The breeziest
day of the week will be this afternoon with 20 foot winds out of
the west generally 5-15 mph during the afternoon. Each day after
that will have lighter winds at 5-10 mph. Dry conditions will
persist with no rain in sight. Temperatures will be near normal
leaning above average each day, peaking at 10 to 15 degrees above
normal by Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  40  64  36  64 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            35  61  30  62 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               33  60  30  60 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               32  60  30  62 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               23  41  23  44 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    34  59  32  59 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              32  59  32  61 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   32  64  30  64 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                30  61  29  63 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       41  63  38  63 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                30  64  27  64 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             38  68  33  68 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               37  57  34  57 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   36  65  32  65 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             35  62  32  62 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           40  62  38  63 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            27  61  24  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    32  64  28  64 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 38  64  34  64 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                31  59  29  59 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  28  55  27  58 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                25  52  25  55 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 25  52  24  54 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  23  56  22  59 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                35  61  33  61 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                29  59  26  61 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             25  59  26  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   30  60  30  62 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    25  64  25  66 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               25  61  25  63 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  34  59  33  60 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   33  63  30  65 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  32  62  29  64 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           35  64  32  64 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               37  60  36  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...04-Lundeen