Area Forecast Discussion
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552
FXUS64 KEPZ 072136
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
336 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...New DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 140 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

 - Temperatures will continue to warm on Tuesday and Wednesday.

 - Very dry conditions. Plenty of sunshine and no chance for any
   precipitation through the coming weekend.

 - Winds generally light through the week. Becoming breezy to
   marginally windy this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 140 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Upper level high pressure is moving into the region and as the
saying goes, big bubble, no trouble. Today we will warm about 10
degrees above what we saw on Sunday, and we will see much of the
same on Tuesday and Wednesday. High temperatures for Wednesday
through Sunday will run in the upper 80`s to lower 90`s in the
lowlands. The ridge will also keep up our skies clear and our rain
chances near zero. The airmass will be very dry this week, but
winds will be on the light side of things. By Saturday, we will be
near record high temperatures. On Thursday our winds will swing
around to the east as a wind shift moves across the area. Some
might call it a cold front, but temperatures are basically the
same on either side of the "front". By Saturday the upper level
ridge will shift a little east and that will allow a couple of
short wave troughs to pass near the area. These troughs will have
no moisture to work with, so all they will be able to do is give
us some breezy or low end windy conditions for both afternoons
this weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1138 AM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours. Light winds will
continue this afternoon and into the overnight hours. Our ceilings
are unlimited and those unlimited ceilings will last into Tuesday
morning (and beyond).

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 140 PM MDT Mon Apr 7 2025

We will have quiet fire weather conditions through Friday as upper
level high pressure controls our weather. This upper level ridge
will keep us very dry, but winds will be generally light. We will
have little chances for precipitation through the weekend. But we
will have breezy to windy conditions on Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  45  80  52  87 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            39  73  44  81 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               40  78  45  85 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               40  76  47  84 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               30  55  38  63 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    40  79  48  85 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              39  73  46  79 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   38  80  43  88 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                37  79  42  86 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       47  77  53  86 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                35  77  41  85 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             40  80  45  88 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               43  70  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   40  78  45  87 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             40  76  45  85 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           48  78  54  85 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            37  78  42  86 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    35  81  41  89 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 40  80  46  88 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                39  75  46  82 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  34  68  43  76 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                34  65  41  73 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 31  63  39  72 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  30  73  37  80 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                38  79  45  85 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                35  78  41  86 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             35  74  40  80 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   35  76  41  82 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    35  80  39  87 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               37  75  43  82 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  38  75  45  84 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   36  80  44  87 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  35  79  41  86 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           38  78  44  87 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               42  76  49  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...15-Brice