365
WTPZ25 KNHC 020241
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152025
0300 UTC THU OCT 02 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 117.0W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 117.0W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 116.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 12.6N 117.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.1N 119.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.0N 121.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.0N 123.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 15.7N 123.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 16.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 117.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)