665
WTPZ25 KNHC 041442
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152025
1500 UTC SAT OCT 04 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 123.6W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 123.6W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 123.5W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.0N 124.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N 124.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.9N 123.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.0N 122.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.0N 121.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.7N 120.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 15.2N 118.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 16.2N 114.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 123.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT