Tropical Cyclone Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
414 WTPZ43 KNHC 081439 TCDEP3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Marie Discussion Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132026 800 AM PDT Tue Sep 08 2026 Marie`s satellite presentation has degraded since the previous advisory. Infrared satellite imagery depicts very weak remnant convection in the southeast quadrant, while visible imagery shows that Marie`s low-level center is exposed. The latest subjective Dvorak estimate from TAFB classified Marie`s intensity as 30 kt, while objective analysis from UW-CIMSS generally ranged from 25-36 kt. Given the most recent satellite trends, Marie`s initial intensity has been lowered to 35 kt. The storm is now classified as a post-tropical cyclone due to a lack of deep convection. The initial motion was estimated at 300/8 kt. Marie is expected to turn more northwestward as it finds itself wedged between a cutoff low descending from the northeast Pacific and a high pressure system centered over the southwestern US. Little was changed to the most recent NHC track forecast, which reflects only a slight leftward shift to bring the official track slightly closer to HCCA. Marie is forecast to weaken and dissipate in the next couple of days as the system moves over progressively cooler SSTs and into a drier airmass. The latest intensity forecast moved up dissipation time slightly due to Marie`s current rate of weakening following the latest model trends. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/1500Z 25.8N 127.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 09/0000Z 26.8N 128.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 09/1200Z 28.7N 129.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 10/0000Z 31.2N 131.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Evans/Kelly