201
WTPZ21 KNHC 291439
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062025
1500 UTC SUN JUN 29 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  99.9W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  99.9W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  99.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 14.1N 100.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 15.2N 102.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.3N 103.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.5N 105.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.7N 107.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N 108.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 21.7N 110.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 23.9N 112.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  99.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 29/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY