431
WTPZ21 KNHC 050244
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162025
0300 UTC SUN OCT 05 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 106.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE  60SW  90NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 106.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.0N 106.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...160NE  70SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.6N 107.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...200NE 110SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.4N 107.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.4N 108.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  30SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...190NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.3N 110.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.2N 111.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 22.3N 114.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 106.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 05/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART