876
WTPZ21 KNHC 071445
TCMEP1

HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162025
1500 UTC TUE OCT 07 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 110.1W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  35 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 130SW 140NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 330SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 110.1W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 109.8W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.5N 111.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.6N 113.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.7N 114.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.1N 115.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 26.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 28.7N 114.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 31.5N 113.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 110.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 07/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN