Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
029
FOPZ11 KNHC 060832
PWSEP1
HURRICANE KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112025
0900 UTC SAT SEP 06 2025
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120
KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 140W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 140W 50 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
15N 140W 64 48 X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
15N 145W 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17)
20N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 20(33) 4(37) X(37) X(37)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 79(87) 1(88) X(88)
20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 56(57) 1(58) X(58)
20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) X(34) X(34)
25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 67(71) 2(73) X(73)
20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 2(34) X(34)
20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 1(16) X(16)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 8(20) X(20)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7)
26N 159W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
25N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15)
25N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)