847
FOPZ11 KNHC 010838
PWSEP1

TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112025
0900 UTC MON SEP 01 2025

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 125W       34  5   2( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

10N 130W       34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)

15N 130W       34  1  11(12)  36(48)  11(59)   3(62)   X(62)   X(62)
15N 130W       50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   6(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
15N 130W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

10N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   4(12)   1(13)

15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  53(59)  12(71)   1(72)
15N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)  10(32)   X(32)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   7(15)   X(15)

10N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)

15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  40(41)  31(72)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  25(39)
15N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  14(20)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)