638
ABPZ20 KNHC 070504
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Jun 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico (EP92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
located several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec
continue to show signs of organization.  Environmental conditions
are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression
or tropical storm is expected to form this weekend as the system
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Locally heavy rains are
possible along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during
the next couple of days, and interests there should monitor the
progress of this system.  For additional information on this
system, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern
coast of Mexico have changed little in organization for much of
the day.  However, gradual development of this system is expected,
and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or
early next week while the system moves northwestward at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late next week south
of southern Mexico.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development of this system as it moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

$$
Forecaster Berg