799
ABPZ20 KNHC 291138
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jul 29 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Iona, located in the central Pacific basin well south-southeast of
the Hawaiian Islands, and on Tropical Storm Keli also located in the
central Pacific basin well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.

Western East Pacific (EP98):
A well-defined area of low pressure located around 1500 miles
east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to produce a
limited amount of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear marginally conducive for some development of this
system, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form
during the next day or two as it moves generally westward around 10
mph. This system is expected to move into the Central Pacific basin
tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

South of Southwestern Mexico (EP99):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about
500 miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico is associated
with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form during the next couple of days while the system moves
west-northwestward around 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Central East Pacific:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop well south of
southern or southwestern Mexico late this week or over the weekend
Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual
development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Keli are issued under WMO
header WTPA32 PHFO and under AWIPS header MIATCPCP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Keli are issued under WMO
header WTPA22 PHFO and under AWIPS header MIATCMCP2.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi