302
ABPZ20 KNHC 020537
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Oct 1 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Octave, located well south-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California Peninsula.

Offshore of the Southwestern Coast of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the coast
of southern and southwestern Mexico is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression
is likely to form Friday night or over the weekend while the system
moves generally west-northwestward, remaining parallel to but
offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.  Interests along the
southwestern coast of Mexico should closely monitor the progress of
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema