920
ABPZ20 KNHC 201129
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Sep 20 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of the Baja California Peninsula (EP96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains limited in association with
an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.  The system is
forecast to move west-northwestward into a more hostile environment
later today and tonight, where cooler waters and a drier airmass
will inhibit further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Off the Coast of Southern Mexico (EP97):
A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south
of the southern coast of Mexico is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  No development is expected
today while wind shear remains strong.  However, environmental
conditions are forecast to become more conducive along the path of
the system beginning late this weekend, and a tropical depression is
likely to form early next week while it moves west-northwestward at
5 to 10 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of southern and
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen