


Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
119 ABPZ20 KNHC 061719 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 6 2025 For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Octave, located in the eastern Pacific well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and on Hurricane Priscilla, located a couple hundred miles offshore of southwestern Mexico. South of Southern Mexico: Satellite wind data indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed a couple of hundred miles off the coast of Guatemala. This system is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development appears unlikely during the next couple of days due to strong upper-level winds. However, environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week while moving west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, near or parallel to the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system could produce periods of heavy rainfall along the coast of southern Mexico this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Hagen