972
AXPZ20 KNHC 250406
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Mon Aug 25 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0340 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Depression Ten-E is centered near 16.5N 110.6W at
25/0300 UTC, moving west-northwest at 11 kt. Estimated minimum
central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30
kt with gusts to 40 kt. Peak seas are 11 ft near the center of
the cyclone. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from 15N
to 18N between 111W and 114W. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is elsewhere from 10N to 20N between 105W and 119W.
Ten-E will move toward the west-northwest during the next day or
two, followed by a motion to the northwest. Gradual
strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
system will likely become a tropical storm on Monday. Please
read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest
Ten-E NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave extends from 06N to 15N with axis near 94W, moving
toward the west around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
from 06N to 12N between 90W and 106W.

A tropical wave extends from 05N to 18N with axis near 123W,
moving toward the west around 15-20 kt. Numerous moderate to
strong convection is from 12N to 15N between 119W and 124W.
Scattered moderate convection is elsewhere from 08N to 16N
between 118W and 130W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough axis extends from 10N85W to 11N100W to 15N106W
then resumes west of Tropical Depression Ten-E near 15N115W to
11N129W to 12N140W. Aside from the convection associated with
Tropical Depression Ten-E and the two tropical waves, scattered
moderate convection is noted from 08N to 14N between 85W and
91W, and from 08N to 12N between 128W and 139W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please refer to the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information
related to Tropical Depression Ten-E.

Tropical Depression Ten-E is near 16.5N 110.6W at 8 PM PDT, and
is moving west-northwest at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds are
30 kt with gusts to 40 kt, and the minimum central pressure is
1005 mb. Tropical Depression Ten-E is currently affecting the
outer offshore waters of Jalisco and Baja California with near
gale force winds and rough seas to 10 ft. A weak pressure
gradient supports gentle to moderate N to NW winds N of Los Cabos
along with moderate seas to 6 ft in SW swell. Moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas are elsewhere across the SW Mexican
offshores, the Tehuantepec region and the Gulf of California.
Seas are slight in the Gulf of California and moderate elsewhere.

For the forecast, Ten-E will strengthen to a tropical storm near
17.2N 112.2W Mon morning, move to 18.2N 114.2W Mon evening,
19.2N 116.1W Tue morning, 20.4N 117.9W Tue evening, 21.7N 119.2W
Wed morning, and 23.0N 120.2W Wed evening. Ten-E will weaken to a
remnant low near 25.0N 121.5W late Thu. Elsewhere, moderate to
fresh SE winds are possible in the central and northern Gulf of
California tonight, with generally moderate SE winds expected
thereafter. Looking ahead, moderate to fresh N to NE gap winds
will develop in the Gulf of Tehuantepec on Mon, with pulsing
strong winds and locally rough seas expected Mon night through
late this week.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate NE to E winds are ongoing in the Gulf of Papagayo as a
tropical wave approaches from the east. Gentle to moderate SE to
S winds are between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands along with
rough seas of 8 to 11 ft in long period southerly swell. Light to
gentle winds and moderate seas to 7 ft are elsewhere across the
Central America offshores.

For the forecast, a long-period, cross-equatorial swell will
propagate northward over the next several days, producing rough
seas over the Ecuador and Galapagos Islands waters, with rough
seas reaching the Central American waters on Mon. Very rough seas
over 12 ft are likely south of the equator into early Mon. Seas
will slowly subside through midweek. Elsewhere, fresh E to NE gap
winds will pulse in the Gulf of Papagayo through Mon morning,
with strong winds and locally rough seas developing Mon afternoon
and continuing through Wed.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please see the special features for further information on
Tropical Depression Ten-E.

Tropical Depression Ten-E is near 16.5N 110.6W at 8 PM PDT, and
is moving west-northwest at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds are
30 kt with gusts to 40 kt, and the minimum central pressure is
1005 mb. High pressure of 1024 mb centered near 35N137W extends a
ridge across the E Pacific subtropical waters N of 20N and W of
120W. Moderate N to NE winds are occurring along the periphery
of the high along with 4 to 7 ft seas over much of this region.
Fresh SW winds are south of the western extension of the monsoon
trough along with rough seas to 9 ft. Farther south, a long-
period SW swell is leading to 8 to 11 ft seas south of 03N.
Moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere.

For the forecast, Ten-E will strengthen to a tropical storm near
17.2N 112.2W Mon morning, move to 18.2N 114.2W Mon evening,
19.2N 116.1W Tue morning, 20.4N 117.9W Tue evening, 21.7N 119.2W
Wed morning, and 23.0N 120.2W Wed evening. Ten-E will weaken to a
remnant low near 25.0N 121.5W late Thu. Elsewhere, a long-
period, cross-equatorial swell will propagate northward over the
next several days, producing rough seas south of 05N before
merging with a wide expanse of rough seas generated near Ten-E
tonight. Very rough seas to 12 ft will be possible south of the
equator into early Mon. Seas generated by this cross equatorial
swell will slowly subside by midweek. Looking ahead, a new SW
swell will lead to rough seas south of 10N late this week.

$$
Ramos