Tropical Weather Discussion
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705
AXPZ20 KNHC 221533
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Tue Apr 22 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Panama near 09N79W
and continues to 06N101W. The ITCZ extends from there to beyond
03N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N-07N
east of 102W and from 04N-09N between 122W-132W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weak ridge of high pressure is present from 25N125W
southeastward to 12N95W. Winds are moderate or weaker across the
waters. Seas are 4-6 ft in mixed NW and SW swell over the Pacific
waters, and 1-2 ft over the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, the weak ridge of high pressure will dominate
the Mexican offshore waters for the next few days, leading to
quiescent wind and wave conditions. Looking ahead, a stronger
pressure gradient will increase NW winds along the Baja
California peninsula to fresh beginning on Fri night.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continue to affect
the offshore waters of Panama, Costa Rica and Colombia. A strong
ridge over the W Atlantic and Caribbean continues to force fresh
to strong NE to E winds over the Gulf of Papagayo region,
reaching downwind to 90W. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or
weaker. Seas are 4-7 ft in SW swell.

For the forecast, NE to E gap winds are expected to continue
pulsing to fresh with locally strong over the Gulf of Papagayo
region through Thu morning. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds
will prevail over the Central American and equatorial Pacific
offshore zones through the end of the week. Looking ahead,
moderate S swell should reach the equatorial zones beginning Fri
night.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA....

A 1034 mb high pressure is located at 43N142W with a ridge
extending southeastward from 25N125W to 12N95W. A modest pressure
gradient between the ridge and lower pressure over the ITCZ is
forcing moderate to fresh NE trades from 06N-15N west of 115W
with seas to 8 ft. Elsewhere, winds are gentle or weaker with 5-7
ft in mixed N and SW swell.

For the forecast, little change in winds is expected through the
end of the week. Looking ahead, a weak cold front should reach
our N border on Fri night and Sat, but only accompanied by
moderate winds. A moderate S swell is anticipated to reach our S
border east of 120W beginning on Fri and continuing until Sat.

$$
Landsea