


Tropical Weather Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
501 AXPZ20 KNHC 260131 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Sat Apr 26 2025 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0130 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 06N110W. The ITCZ continues from 06N110W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 80W and 120W, and from 01N to 10N between 120W and 140W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Gentle to moderate winds prevail over much of the open waters off Mexico, with seas in the 5-6 ft range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 2-3 ft are over the northern Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds, and seas 2 ft or less, cover the remainder of the Gulf waters. For the forecast, a weak cold front will move into the Baja Norte waters Sat and dissipate across the central Baja waters Sun, with high pressure building in its wake across the area waters through Mon. Fresh to strong SW winds will pulse in the northern Gulf of California tonight and Sat night. Moderate NW winds across the Baja waters will freshen late Sat through late Mon. N winds in the central Gulf of Tehuantepec will pulse fresh to occasional strong at night through this weekend. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to locally fresh winds are in the Gulfs of Papagayo and Panama. Mainly gentle to locally moderate winds prevail elsewhere. S to SW swell has propagated into the waters S of the Galapagos Islands and eastward to Ecuador, producing seas of 7-8 ft. Seas are in the 5-6 ft range elsewhere. For the forecast, moderate to fresh E winds will pulse across the Papagayo region each night and morning into next week. In the Gulf of Panama, moderate to locally fresh winds will pulse nightly into Sat, with generally moderate winds expected thereafter. Cross equatorial S-SW swell will peak over the regional waters late Sat through Sun. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA.... High pressure dominates the waters N of 10N. The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh NE trade winds N of the ITCZ to near 22N W of 120W. Seas over these waters are in the 6-9 ft range. Gentle to moderate N to NE winds, and seas of 5-7 ft prevail elsewhere N of the ITCZ and W of 110W. S of the ITCZ/monsoon trough, light to gentle winds and seas of 6-8 ft prevail. For the forecast, locally fresh N to NW winds and rough seas will develop tonight north of 27N behind a cold front sweeping across the northern waters, and reaching 120W by midday Sat. Little change in winds and seas are expected elsewhere N of the ITCZ. Cross equatorial S swell will propagate into the southern waters through the weekend, raising seas to 8-9 ft south of 10N between 100W and 120W through late Sat before seas slowly subside through Sun. $$ AL