592
AXPZ20 KNHC 032000
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Wed Dec 3 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1930 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N85W to 07N103W. The ITCZ runs
from 07N103W to 11N119W, then resumes from 07N131W to beyond
07N140W. A surface trough breaks the ITCZ, analyzed from 19N118W
to 08N130W. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 10N E
of 104W and from 06N to 11N W of 130W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A surface trough prevailing SW of the Revillagigedo Islands is
aiding in numerous moderate convection in the vicinity of
Socorro Island. Fresh gap winds are noted in the northern Gulf
of California. Moderate N winds are noted in the Gulf of
Tehunatepec and off the west coast of Baja California Sur.
Otherwise, light to gentle winds prevail. Five to 7 ft seas
dominate waters N of 18N, with 3 to 5 ft seas to the south. In
the Gulf of California, 2 to 4 ft seas are present in the
northern basin, with central and southern areas have seas of 2 ft
or less.

For the forecast, the surface trough just southwest of the
Revillagigedo Islands will keep thunderstorms near the islands
through Thu night. Moderate to fresh N winds will pulse in the
northern Gulf of California tonight and Thu night.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Surface ridging extending across the northern Caribbean supports
fresh NE winds and moderate seas in Papagayo region. S of the
monsoon trough, gentle S to SW winds and moderate seas prevail.
Elsewhere, mainly light winds with moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh gap winds will persist near
the Papagayo region into Thu night. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are expected elsewhere into the start of
next week.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A deep-layer trough axis extending roughly along 120W from 11N to
27N is inducing numerous moderate to isolated strong convection
from 15N to 25N between 114W and 118W. To the west of this axis,
moderate winds and seas, with locally rough seas, dominate N of
the ITCZ. Elsewhere, gentle winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, the large NW swell causing locally rough seas
will decay tonight, with moderate seas then prevailing through
the weekend. Moderate to fresh trades will dominate N of the ITCZ
to 25N and W of 125W into the weekend, with moderate or weaker
winds elsewhere.

$$
Konarik