494
AXPZ20 KNHC 101538
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Fri Oct 10 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1530 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Priscilla is centered near 25.9N 115.2W at
10/1500 UTC, moving north at 4 kt. Estimated minimum central
pressure is 1000 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 40 kt with
gusts to 50 kt. Peak seas are around 12 ft. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 24N to 29N between 113W and 116W.
On the forecast track, the center of Priscilla is expected
to remain offshore of the coast of Baja California Sur, and
dissipate by Saturday. Additional weakening is forecast, with
Priscilla expected to become a post-tropical remnant low later
today and dissipate by Saturday.

Tropical Storm Raymond is centered near 18.3N 104.9W at 10/1500
UTC, moving northwest at 13 kt. Estimated minimum central
pressure is 998 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 50 kt with
gusts to 60 kt. Peak seas are around 12 ft. Numerous strong
convection extends from 15N to 22N between 102W and 112W.
Scattered moderate convection is elsewhere from 08N to 15N
between 100W and 110W. On the forecast track, the center of the
cyclone is expected to move parallel to the southwestern coast of
Mexico through today and then approach southern Baja California
Sur over the weekend. Little change in strength is expected
through today, followed by a weakening trend over the weekend.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest
Tropical Storms Priscilla and Raymond NHC Forecast/Advisories
and Public Advisories at www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 11N86W to 15N94W to 16N100W.
Scattered moderate convection is affecting the Central America
offshore waters from 02N to 13N E of 98W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please refer to the Special Features section for further details
on Tropical Storms Priscilla and Raymond.

Tropical Storm Priscilla is near 25.9N 115.2W at 8 AM PDT, and
is moving north at 4 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 40 kt with
gusts to 50 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1000 mb.
Showers and tstms associated with this system are affecting the
offshore waters to the N of Punta Abreojos.

Farther south and affecting the SW Mexican waters and the
entrance of the Gulf of California, Tropical Storm Raymond is
near 18.3N 104.9W at 8 AM PDT, and is moving northwest at 13 kt.
Maximum sustained winds are 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt, and the
minimum central pressure is 998 mb.

Outside the direct influence of the tropical storms, light to
gentle winds are in the offshores from Chiapas to Oaxaca, Mexico,
except for moderate to locally fresh N gap winds in Tehuantepec.
Seas are moderate to 7 ft over this region. Otherwise, gentle to
locally moderate NW winds are along the Gulf of California with
slight seas to 3 ft, except to 5 ft at the entrance of the Gulf.

For the forecast, Priscilla will weaken to a remnant low near
26.5N 115.1W this evening, and dissipate Sat morning. Raymond
will move to 19.6N 107.0W this evening, 21.4N 109.2W Sat morning,
23.2N 110.3W Sat evening, weaken to a remnant low near 25.6N
110.6W Sun morning, and dissipate Sun evening. Otherwise, strong
gap winds will pulse across the Gulf of Tehuantepec tonight
through Sat night. Another strong gap winds event is forecast to
begin Tue morning.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Scattered moderate convection is affecting most of the offshores
of Central America this morning. This monsoonal convection is
also supporting moderate to locally fresh SW winds across the
Panama and Colombia offshores. Mainly moderate southerly winds
are ongoing between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands. Elsewhere,
N of the monsoon, winds are light to gentle. Seas are moderate to
7 ft in mixed southerly and northwest swell.

For the forecast, the monsoon trough will provide a focus for
showers and thunderstorms for northern waters into early next
week. South of the trough, generally moderate to locally fresh SW
winds and moderate seas will prevail.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A surface ridge anchored by a 1020 mb high near 28N142W extends
across the subtropical waters W of 125W and into the tropics to
16N. Between the ridge and the monsoon, gentle to moderate NE to
E winds are present along with moderate seas to 6 ft. Moderate to
locally fresh southerly winds and moderate seas are occurring
south of the monsoon trough. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and
moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, high pressure should build across the waters
north of the monsoon trough during the weekend into early next
week. A new set of northerly swell, bringing rough seas, is
forecast to propagate to waters north of 25N and west of 125W by
the end of the weekend into early next week. Farther south, SW
swell will support combined seas to 8 ft south of the monsoon
trough between 100W and 110W early next week.

$$
Ramos