120
FXUS66 KEKA 171114
AFDEKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Eureka CA
414 AM PDT Sat May 17 2025

.SYNOPSIS...A weak system will increase cloud cover and present low
chances for a few showers or light drizzle Saturday. Breezy
northwest winds continue this afternoon, and again Sunday. A
warming trend then develops next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...A scan of the early morning satellite imagery
reveals a well-defined shortwave entering the Northern CA
coastline. Mid to high level clouds will increase throughout the
day. This feature and associated cold front will have little
impacts other than a few light showers/drizzle and a quick shot of
cooler temperatures.

Northerly winds will increase behind the front today, and gusts to
35 mph along the coast and up to 40 mph in the southern inland areas
are probable. Afternoon winds will remain breezy Sunday as the
shortwave trough positions southward over the Great Basin region
before quickly ejecting out to the Four Corners area.

Temperatures will drop some behind the cold front, and low
temperatures for some of the interior valleys may reach frost-
developing levels Sunday morning and perhaps Monday morning. For
Sunday morning, frost will be conditional to the effective clearing
of cloudcover and dewpoint temperatures after any light showers that
manage to occur.

A warming trend will develop next week as high pressure builds back
in. NBM is showing a 40 to 60 percent probability of the some of
the warmest inland valleys reaching 90 degrees. A couple mostly
dry fronts make make it over the ridge next week with little
impacts other than some enhanced northerly winds, and perhaps very
light precipitation closer to the Oregon border or coastal, light
drizzle. Looking at the clusters and ensembles, chances for a
wetting rain may increase some late next week. JJW


&&

.AVIATION...A passing upper level shortwave combined with shallow
marine influence has made for very inconsistent periods of LIFR to
VFR conditions overnight. That said, a generally lifting marine
layer has largely produced VFR conditions for most coastal
terminals. COnditions will remain inconsistent through the morning
with drizzle likely building just after sunrise and elevated
ceilings around 3 kft. Al told, MVFR conditions will be most likely.
Ceilings will most likely drop lower again this evening with areas
of IFR ceilings near shore. /JHW


&&

.MARINE...North winds have remained mostly gentle overnight with
short period seas dropping below 5 feet. North winds will return
again this afternoon, however, and push near shore with gusts up to
around 30 kts. By late tonight short period waves will build back to
near 8 feet, especially in the southern waters. During this whole
period, the sea state will be almost exclusively controlled by short
period waves with only a very minor northwest swell up to 3 feet and
a southerly swell up to 2 feet. A similar pattern of short periods
of calm broken up by periods of moderate to strong north winds will
most likely continue through most of next week. /JHW



&&

.EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...
None.
NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS...
     Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 AM PDT
     Sunday for PZZ450-470.

     Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT Sunday for PZZ455-475.

&&

$$

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