


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA
635 FXUS66 KEKA 040716 AFDEKA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Eureka CA 1216 AM PDT Mon Aug 4 2025 .SYNOPSIS...The last remaining impact of the passing cold front will be felt Monday. Ridging building in this coming week will warm temperatures. && .DISCUSSION...A cold frontal passage Sunday stirred up gusty winds inland Sunday afternoon. The upper level trough will ease up in amplitude allowing for a more zonal synoptic flow early through the week. This will bring calmer conditions with afternoon winds, seasonal tempertures, and no thunderstorm/convective activity expected for early this coming week. This zonal flow will end midweek as an upper level trough over British Columbia migrates eastward allowing for higher geo-potential heights & warmer air to fill into the area. These warmer temperatures aloft will bring warmer conditions on the surface as well. Triple digit max temperatures possible this coming Friday (40-60% prob.) and Saturday (60-80% prob.) in interior Humboldt and Trinity County. Coastal warming expected this week as well with temperatures increasing to the high 60s/low 70s by the weekend. && .AVIATION...The upper level trough that continues to move over the area is keeping the inversion weak and the marine clouds deep. This is also keeping the marine clouds fractured and inconsistent. The CIG heights vary quite a bit from place to place and are difficult to predict. They may eventually settle down to IFR by sunrise. Skies are expected to clear by midday in most areas on Monday. Monday evening the coastal clouds are expected to return and the marine clouds may be a bit lower and more consistent as the trough moves out of the area. Inland areas are expected to remain clear. The threat of storms has moved out of the area. MKK && .MARINE...Monday the winds are expected to start to diminish, but are expected to remain generally in the 10 to 20 kt range through early Thursday. At this point it looks like the winds will be the lightest on Wednesday. Late Thursday or Friday it looks like stronger northerly winds will return, but this may be brief with winds diminishing again on Saturday. Friday will likely see some gale force winds or least gusts. At this point the models are not consistent enough to increase the winds in forecast. The waves are expected to continue to be mainly in response to the local winds. The 1 to 2 foot southerly swell is currently moving through the waters and there will likely continue to be some small southerly swells at times over the next week. The first northwesterly swell in a while is expected to move in the waters Tuesday afternoon. This is expected to build to around 5 feet at 11 seconds by Wednesday evening and continue into Thursday. MKK && .FIRE WEATHER...One more day of gustier winds is expected in Lake County and interior Humboldt and Mendocino (FWZ 276//264/212) as the last little bit of the upper level trough leaves the area Monday. High resolution model data is having a hard time resolving the daytime low relative humidities for the interior valleys, yet dry conditions are forecast Monday. The Red Flag threat for the winds and dry conditions is so localized around certain areas of southern FWZ 264 with marginal conditions elsewhere. No thunderstorms are expected for the && .EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA... None. NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS... Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM PDT this afternoon for PZZ455-475. && $$ NOTE: The full forecast discussion is now regularly issued between 10 am/pm and 1 pm/am. Additional updates will be issued as needed. Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/eureka Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: https://www.facebook.com/NWSEureka https://www.twitter.com/NWSEureka For forecast zone information see the forecast zone map online: https://www.weather.gov/images/eka/zonemap.png