


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA
328 FXUS66 KEKA 241842 AFDEKA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Eureka CA 1142 AM PDT Sat May 24 2025 .SYNOPSIS...Slightly warmer weather is forecast for the interior today. A weak cold front brings a chance of light rain to Humboldt and Del Norte Counties Sunday night into Monday along with a cooling trend. A warming trend is expected for the next week into the weekend bringing possible triple digit temperatures. && .DISCUSSION... Key Messages: -Warmer weather forecasted for the interior today with evening NW gusts of 20-30 mph in Lake and Mendocino counties in the afternoon and evening. -A weak cold front brings a slight chance of wetting rain to Humboldt and Del Norte Counties Sunday night into Monday morning along with a cooling trend. -A warming trend is expected for the next week into the weekend bringing possible triple digit temperatures to inland valleys Friday and Saturday. Weather Pattern Overview: A weak ridge has started to fill in over northwestern California. A persistent layer of coastal stratus is keeping the Northern Humboldt and Del Norte coastline cool this morning. Interior high temperatures today are forecast to be a few degrees higher with 80`s and 90`s forecast in the valleys of Trinity, Mendocino, and Lake counties. This warm up will be short lived as another weak cold front makes its way to the area Sunday into Monday. This will bring more widespread cloud cover especially in the middle and higher levels moderating temperatures and a chance of light rain. Ridging builds back in for much of the week, though there is considerable variability on the strength of this ridge. Forecast Confidence & Deviations: NBM is showing around a 10-20% chance for measurable precipitation (>0.1") in Humboldt and Del Norte counties for Monday morning. Ensembles are in decent agreement for an upper-level low forming off the coast of southern California mid to late next week. Depending on the position of the low, offshore flow could promote the warmest temperatures of the year so far. NBM probabilities for triple digit temperatures are around 70- 50% for the warmest valleys next Friday into the weekend. && .AVIATION...Coastal stratus has settled in along the coast north of Cape Mendocino, through Humboldt and Del Norte counties and into the extreme southern Oregon Coast. Coastal terminals are expected to have a difficult time clearing out through today with high level IFR ceilings to low level MVFR ceilings this morning at KACV and KCEC. There is a possibility of lifting ceilings into MVFR range by this afternoon; however, ceilings are expected to drop back down to IFR late this evening and into early tomorrow morning. KCEC has more of a possibility of clouds scattering out this afternoon while KACV will have a harder time scattering out. KUKI is forecast to have VFR conditions, with just a slight uptick in northerly winds this afternoon. /JLW && .MARINE...Moderate to strong northerly breezes will diminish to more gentle to fresh breezes throughout today with the strongest winds still in the lee of Cape Mendocino. By Sunday, light to gentle southerly winds are expected for the northern waters as a weather system approaches the area. The waves are expected to be mainly wind driven. Monday high pressure is expected to build back into the waters. Winds are expected to peak on Tuesday before diminishing again on Wednesday as another system moves by the area. Stronger winds are expected again later in the week. At this point, there could be brief periods of gales. Generally, winds are expected to remain below gale force. The waves are expected to be mainly wind driven through the period with some small southerly swells. These look to be from 2 to 3 feet. MKK && .EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA... None. NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS... Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening for PZZ455-475. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/eureka Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: https://www.facebook.com/NWSEureka https://www.twitter.com/NWSEureka For forecast zone information see the forecast zone map online: https://www.weather.gov/images/eka/zonemap.png