063
ACUS03 KWNS 110708
SWODY3
SPC AC 110707

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0207 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EASTERN MISSISSIPPI INTO ALABAMA...

...SUMMARY...
A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of
eastern Mississippi into Alabama on Thursday.

...Southeast...

A shortwave upper trough will move across the Southeast through
Thursday evening before moving offshore over the Atlantic during the
nighttime hours. Stronger deep-layer flow associated with a 55-65 kt
jet streak within the base of the trough will mostly remain over the
Gulf. However, modest vertical shear with effective shear magnitudes
around 25-30 kt is forecast. Furthermore, elongated/straight
hodographs are present in forecast soundings across portions of
MS/AL. Boundary layer moisture will be modest (upper 50s to low 60s
F), but cold temperatures aloft will support steep midlevel lapse
rates and contribute to 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE. Overall, this
environment may support isolated strong to severe storms, with
marginally severe hail and gusty winds being the main potential
hazards through the afternoon.

..Leitman.. 03/11/2025

$$