376
ACUS03 KWNS 241917
SWODY3
SPC AC 241916

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0116 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential appears low on Tuesday.

...Synopsis...
A negatively tilted mid/upper-level shortwave trough is forecast to
move quickly across the Northeast on Tuesday. In conjunction with
this shortwave, a surface low will move from the lower Great Lakes
into Quebec, as a trailing cold front moves through parts of New
England, the Mid Atlantic, and Southeast. Modest diurnal
destabilization will be possible near the weakening front across
parts of the Southeast, but with generally limited large-scale
ascent across this region, thunderstorm potential appears low at
this time. Farther north, weak convection will be possible in
association with the front across parts of the Mid Atlantic and
Northeast, but very weak instability is expected to limit
thunderstorm potential.

Across the West, a positively tilted mid/upper-level trough is
expected to move across the Great Basin toward the central Rockies.
Cold temperatures aloft associated with the trough could support
weak convection with very isolated/sporadic lightning flashes from
OR/northern CA into the Great Basin and central/northern Rockies.
Confidence in sufficient coverage is too low to include a
general-thunderstorm area at this time.

..Dean.. 11/24/2024

$$