Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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749
ACUS02 KWNS 071713
SWODY2
SPC AC 071711

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1111 AM CST Sun Dec 07 2025

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms will be possible across South Florida and the
Keys on Monday. Severe storms are not expected.

...South Florida...

An upper trough oriented from the Great Lakes to the eastern Gulf
will pivot east on Monday, moving offshore the Atlantic coast by
late evening. Enhanced mid/upper westerly flow will extend across
the Southeast into the FL Peninsula early in the day, and weaken
with time through the period. At the surface, a cold front over
south-central FL will develop southward through the day, moving
offshore during the evening.

Large-scale ascent will be nebulous across the area, with any
stronger forcing focused well north of the region. Nevertheless,
rich boundary layer moisture will exist ahead of the boundary, and
weak instability is noted in forecast soundings. Poor lapse rates
will limit updraft intensity, and forcing along the front also will
be modest given veering low-level winds. Nevertheless, a few
thunderstorms may be ongoing during the morning across South FL and
surroundings coastal/near-shore areas. This activity may persist
into the afternoon before diminishing. Severe storms are not
expected.

..Leitman.. 12/07/2025

$$