613
ACUS02 KWNS 120638
SWODY2
SPC AC 120636

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1236 AM CST Wed Feb 12 2025

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated, marginally severe storms are possible early Thursday
morning in parts of the Florida Panhandle, southeast Alabama, and
southwest Georgia. Damaging winds and brief tornado or two are the
primary threats.

...Synopsis...
A potent upper-level trough and associated strong jet streak will
move through the Ohio Valley and into the Mid-Atlantic/New England
through the day on Thursday. Strong flow will extend southward into
the Southeast and North Florida.  In California, a strong upper
trough will impact the northern/central coast late in the period. A
cold front is forecast to be near the Alabama/Georgia border in the
morning and move eastward and offshore by the afternoon.

A few thunderstorms may occur in the southern Appalachians/Piedmont
before weakening as they encounter less stable air to the east.
Additional isolated thunderstorms are possible in portions of
northern/central California as strong forcing and cold temperatures
aloft move inland. Severe weather is not expected in either area.

...Florida Panhandle and adjacent Alabama/Georgia...
A line of convection is expected to be ongoing Thursday morning from
the Florida Panhandle into southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia.
Waning instability should generally limit the overall strength of
the line and low-level wind fields will be weakening with time as
well. However, at least a few hours of strong to marginally severe
storms are possible. Isolated damaging winds and a brief tornado or
two are the expected hazards. There is some uncertainty as to where
the line of convection will be. The current probabilities attempt to
capture the envelope of model solutions. Adjustments will likely
occur as confidence increases in placement.

..Wendt.. 02/12/2025

$$