


Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
606 ACUS02 KWNS 251730 SWODY2 SPC AC 251728 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into adjacent western Texas. ...Synopsis... Large-scale ridging aloft will persist across the central U.S. Saturday, as short-wave troughing over the Great Lakes region moves into/across the Lower Lakes/Northeast, and a western U.S. upper low makes slow eastward progress across California and into Nevada. At the surface, a cold front will shift eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, while trailing westward across the Gulf Coast states and into the southern Plains. ...Parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas... Widespread convection is forecast to be ongoing at the start of the period within a zone from far eastern New Mexico eastward to Oklahoma/North Texas. Resulting cloud cover and likely southward progression of outflow across western Texas casts some uncertainty with respect to recovery of the afternoon airmass across the MRGL risk area. Presuming ample heating occurs, isolated, new-storm development -- likely near remnant outflow -- may pose additional potential for local, all-hazards severe potential. This area will likely require some adjustment in later outlooks, as the effects of early-day convection can be more accurately ascertained. ..Goss.. 04/25/2025 $$