Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
065 ACUS02 KWNS 041729 SWODY2 SPC AC 041728 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CST Thu Dec 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not forecast Friday. ...Synopsis... Broad mid-level troughing over the eastern US is forecast to continue Friday as several small-scale perturbations pass over the Plains and Midwest. At the surface, a low will deepen over the northern Rockies while a stalled front will remain in place along the Gulf Coast. Behind the front, a cold and dry polar air mass will largely preclude thunderstorm development over much of the US. The exception will be along the central and northeastern Gulf Coast where a few thunderstorms are possible early. ...Southern LA to the FL Panhandle... Along the stalled front, a weak wave low is forecast to develop across the northern Gulf ahead of a low-amplitude shortwave moving out of the southern Plains. Convergence along the front and ahead of this feature could allow the front to move inland a few miles Friday morning. While not overly warm nor moist, modest destabilization could support isolated elevated thunderstorms inland and closer to the coast through midday. Strong flow aloft and backing along the front could allow for a few transient rotating cells. This appears most likely over parts of southern LA and the FL Big Bend where storms closer to the front could potentiality be near surface-based for a couple hours. However, given the weak buoyancy and few if any surface-based storms inland for a longer duration, severe potential remains too low for probabilities. ..Lyons.. 12/04/2025 $$