566
ACUS02 KWNS 011650
SWODY2
SPC AC 011648

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1048 AM CST Sun Feb 01 2026

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. on Monday or Monday
night.

...Synopsis...
In the wake of a deep upper trough moving across the western
Atlantic, one shortwave trough is forecast to move southeastward
across the northern Great Plains, while another low-amplitude
shortwave trough will move eastward across TX. A weak surface low is
expected to develop across the southern High Plains, resulting in
modest low-level moisture return (dewpoints in the 50s F) across
central/south TX. However, surface-based buoyancy is expected remain
very weak to negligible. Weak elevated buoyancy may develop late in
the period across parts of east TX and the ArkLaTex region. The
shortwave trough moving across TX may aid in the development of
convective showers early Tuesday morning, but any such convection is
expected to remain too weak/shallow for thunderstorm development
prior to the end of the period.

..Dean.. 02/01/2026

$$