


Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
157 WUUS02 KWNS 170603 PTSDY2 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0102 AM CDT SAT MAY 17 2025 VALID TIME 181200Z - 191200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 36459991 37990080 39100199 39470338 39960432 41260435 41990369 42320153 42059899 41739696 41189512 40129247 38289031 37078957 35948972 34359228 32109621 31309842 31219965 31630024 32450032 34819976 36459991 0.05 33829912 35669893 37249984 38060025 38510056 39230130 39650220 39870284 40010312 40490354 40950360 41480043 40779616 39779297 39299235 38789193 37589209 36189285 34969389 33579580 32829786 32839882 33239915 33829912 0.10 39119916 39479894 39799846 39289736 38969691 38759641 38319581 37979528 37509544 37109573 36919586 36529621 36179678 36199786 36689862 37229898 38589923 39119916 SIGN 39519890 39779846 39289738 38989693 38729637 38349583 37969528 37529542 36979581 36509623 36179680 36199785 36679861 37229898 38569923 39129915 39519890 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 30718049 31658417 32128674 32328814 32509177 32169547 31029830 29630016 28740097 0.05 29430220 30890194 33580080 36170054 38050094 39110204 39490344 40010438 41230437 41930371 43080087 43459821 43399726 43129642 40979309 38078824 36628603 35318422 34168201 32547798 0.15 41000357 41300331 41800243 42060172 42069899 41719687 41219524 40569405 39319235 38809192 37609208 36159287 34259446 32129622 31659802 31679891 32089977 32819995 33520002 34719980 37259984 38320041 39230129 39670221 39870288 40030316 40510353 40840359 41000357 0.30 39839844 40039699 39789567 39029512 38099522 37499542 36989581 36499625 36179677 36209789 36679860 37249898 38599923 39129913 39499893 39839844 SIGN 41290332 41840235 42060172 42079897 41709681 41239525 40619416 37729375 34039466 32119621 31669801 31689889 32089978 32849995 33550002 34739978 37259982 38330042 39240129 39670218 39860286 40020314 40540352 40960361 41290332 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29450220 30930195 33580080 36170053 38020095 39160209 39480342 40000438 41210444 42050182 42049896 41709677 41259539 39769116 38928950 36878640 36138534 35318422 34208209 32537797 0.05 30708052 31698429 32358825 32489168 32179543 31019831 29650012 28690100 0.15 33179825 34539783 36319772 37909810 39029864 39889823 40239685 40009398 39359248 38819198 37659208 36209285 33859478 33209652 32969738 32889792 33179825 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 39769563 39019510 38099522 37499543 36959583 36489626 36179679 36209786 36679861 37219896 38559924 39129916 39469895 39829845 40039704 39769563 SLGT 38779192 37579208 36179285 33619496 32109621 31659800 31689890 32059976 32829993 33440001 34679982 36689980 37239984 38110029 38470053 39220129 39650222 39860284 40010313 40280335 40490354 40950360 41290331 41730256 42040177 42090044 42059899 41709684 41229527 40549402 39289233 38779192 MRGL 29430221 30900194 33580082 36140054 38050096 39140209 39490346 40010440 41220438 41960370 43080085 43469807 43399722 43109640 40949302 37968806 35328422 34178203 32557800 99999999 30708051 31658420 32318800 32499176 32179542 31019830 29650013 28700101 TSTM 30067973 30738245 30748593 30518796 30298953 29879083 29759160 29179217 28769262 TSTM 28540321 30060337 31150327 32700235 34800146 37220135 38430165 39080256 39330362 39350463 39090521 38060621 37530718 37250790 37560981 37531060 37251171 37101267 37431374 38031416 40401431 43091475 44981403 46401208 47201015 47790645 47730385 46680028 45229632 43979368 42709159 41269003 39858816 38708626 37718425 36668144 35767726 35447437 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S FNB 25 WNW OJC 30 NNE CNU 15 SSE CNU 15 NE BVO 25 SSW BVO 30 N CQB 10 SSE END 10 SSE AVK 20 WSW P28 30 SW RSL 25 NW RSL 40 N RSL 45 WNW CNK 25 SW BIE 20 S FNB. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E COU 15 SSE TBN 20 ESE HRO 30 E PRX 10 ENE CRS 40 SSE SEP 10 SSE BWD 25 S ABI 30 NNW ABI 70 SSE CDS 30 ENE CDS 65 W AVK 40 S DDC 25 ENE GCK 40 NNE GCK 25 ESE GLD 30 N ITR 30 SE AKO 15 SSE AKO 10 NW AKO 25 NW AKO 35 WSW SNY 20 NW SNY 25 SSE AIA 35 W MHN 30 E MHN 20 NNE BUB 30 ENE OLU 35 E OMA LWD 35 N COU 15 E COU. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S 6R6 60 E FST 60 E LBB 55 ENE BGD 15 WNW GCK 10 ESE ITR 20 NE LIC 30 ENE DEN 25 ENE CYS BFF 20 NW VTN 20 S MHE 30 WSW FSD 35 SSE FSD 25 SSE OXV 30 W EVV 35 SSW TYS 45 ESE AND 95 SE CRE ...CONT... 65 ESE SSI 10 N ABY 45 E MEI 15 E MLU 10 S TYR 55 W TPL 50 ENE DRT 45 S DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 E SGJ 35 S AYS 35 E CEW 20 ESE MOB 20 ESE ASD 25 NNW HUM 30 E 7R4 40 S 7R4 75 SSW 7R4. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 SSW 6R6 45 ESE MRF 25 NW FST 50 E HOB 35 SSE AMA 25 WNW LBL 60 NW GCK 20 SW ITR LIC 30 SSE DEN 30 NW COS 45 NNW ALS 40 NE DRO 10 NW DRO 20 W 4BL U17 25 NNW PGA 50 SSE CDC 25 NNW SGU 35 NE P38 25 SSW ENV 35 SW SUN 10 SW SMN 15 SSW HLN 35 WNW LWT 30 SSE GGW 15 E SDY 25 ESE BIS 10 SE VVV 20 SE MKT 40 ENE ALO 25 ESE MLI 15 SSE CMI 35 SSE BMG 30 SE LEX 45 SSW BLF 35 E RWI 70 ENE HSE.