Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
413 FNUS22 KWNS 030700 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CDT Sun May 03 2026 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z CORRECTED FOR MISSPELLED WORD ...Synopsis... Split mid-level flow will continue over the US Monday as the cut off low over the Southwest merges with a strengthening sub tropical jet stream. Enhanced westerly flow aloft will move out of the southern Rockies and over the Plains deepening a lee cyclone. This will promote dry and breezy conditions over parts of the southern Plains supporting elevated fire-weather potential. ...Southern Plains... Dry westerly flow is expected over parts of the southern Plains Monday as the southern stream upper trough begins to move into the Southwest. The deepening lee low will support strong west/southwest surface winds across parts of eastern NM and the TX/OK Panhandles. Warm temperatures and dry downslope westerly winds of 15-20 mph and 15-20 percent RH will overlap a confined region of dry fuels, exacerbated by drying from the previous day. This should support several hours of elevated fire-weather conditions west of a developing dryline. ...Northern Plains/Midwest... Gusty post-frontal winds are likely Monday across the northern Plains and upper Midwest. However, cooler surface temperatures and cloud cover suggest weaker mixing and higher RH. Still, some pockets of drier air could support brief localized fire-weather concerns in pockets of dry fuels given stronger northwest winds. ..Lyons.. 05/03/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$