763
FNUS22 KWNS 050804
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0203 AM CST Wed Feb 05 2025

Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

...Synopsis...
Continued, largely zonal, mid-level flow is expected across the
central and western US D2/Thursday. Several embedded perturbations
are forecast to move over the Rockies, enhancing lee troughing and
surface winds over the Southwest. Continued warm/dry conditions,
bolstered by increasing winds, should support several hours of
elevated to near-critical fire-weather concerns.

...Southern High Plains and Southwest...
Periods of breezy conditions are anticipated as low-amplitude upper
disturbances and strong westerly flow aloft traverse the central
Rockies. Modest lee troughing will encourage westerly downslope
winds of 15-25 mph off the central/southern Rockies over much of AZ
and NM. Continued dry and warm conditions, aided by deep mixing,
will keep humidity below 15% over much of the area. With several
days of drying, fuels will likely continue to become more receptive
to fire spread. Recent model guidance has trended windier and drier
across much of the Southwest. A few hours of locally critical
fire-weather conditions also appear possible within areas of
stronger terrain-enhanced wind gusts. However, confidence in
widespread critical conditions is relatively low, given the more
limited overlap of the stronger winds, low humidity and more
receptive fuels.

..Lyons.. 02/05/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$