Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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379
FNUS22 KWNS 261859
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

Tomorrow`s (Monday) fire weather forecast remains on-track, with
Elevated fire weather conditions likely from the northern Sierra
into portions of the northern Rockies. While near-critical
conditions are possible across portions of northeast Idaho and
southwestern Montana where surface winds will be a bit stronger, the
spotty/localized nature precludes an upgrade to Critical at this
time (especially considering recent rainfall across the area).

Hot, dry, and breezy conditions are expected across portions of the
southern High Plains from Monday afternoon into the evening. While
locally elevated fire weather conditions are possible, the
combination of somewhat marginal fuel receptiveness coupled with
sustained surface winds remaining at or below 15 mph precludes an
Elevated area at this time.

..Elliott.. 07/26/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026/

...Synopsis...
Upper ridging will persist over the western CONUS tomorrow (Monday).
However, upper flow pivoting around the ridge is expected to be
weaker compared to Day 1 (today). Therefore, wildfire-spread
concerns are expected to be overall milder. Nonetheless, effective
downward momentum transport of mid-level flow should occur along the
northern Sierra into portions of the northern Rockies given a deep
and well-mixed boundary layer. The latest guidance consensus depicts
widespread southwesterly surface winds exceeding 15 mph amid 20
percent RH for at least a few hours, warranting Elevated highlights
given dry fuels.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$