Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
379 FNUS22 KWNS 261859 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z Tomorrow`s (Monday) fire weather forecast remains on-track, with Elevated fire weather conditions likely from the northern Sierra into portions of the northern Rockies. While near-critical conditions are possible across portions of northeast Idaho and southwestern Montana where surface winds will be a bit stronger, the spotty/localized nature precludes an upgrade to Critical at this time (especially considering recent rainfall across the area). Hot, dry, and breezy conditions are expected across portions of the southern High Plains from Monday afternoon into the evening. While locally elevated fire weather conditions are possible, the combination of somewhat marginal fuel receptiveness coupled with sustained surface winds remaining at or below 15 mph precludes an Elevated area at this time. ..Elliott.. 07/26/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026/ ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will persist over the western CONUS tomorrow (Monday). However, upper flow pivoting around the ridge is expected to be weaker compared to Day 1 (today). Therefore, wildfire-spread concerns are expected to be overall milder. Nonetheless, effective downward momentum transport of mid-level flow should occur along the northern Sierra into portions of the northern Rockies given a deep and well-mixed boundary layer. The latest guidance consensus depicts widespread southwesterly surface winds exceeding 15 mph amid 20 percent RH for at least a few hours, warranting Elevated highlights given dry fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$