Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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799
FNUS22 KWNS 140658
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0157 AM CDT Wed May 14 2025

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

...Synopsis...
The upper trough over the western US will eject quickly eastward
spreading strong mid-level flow atop the central Plains. A powerful
lee cyclone will intensify further as it move into the Upper
Midwest. A cold front and tailing dryline may support precipitation
across parts of the Plains and Midwest States. Otherwise, dry and
breezy conditions behind these features will favor some fire-weather
risk.

...Southwest...
Persistent westerly flow will continue across the Southwest
Thursday. This will support another day of dry and windy conditions
across parts of eastern AZ and southern NM. RH below 20% and winds
of 15-20% amidst dry fuels will support widespread elevated to
locally critical conditions. Some fire-weather risk may also extend
into West TX behind an eastward mixing dryline. However, winds here
may be somewhat weaker despite very warm surface temperatures and
lower humidity. Locally elevated conditions are possible within
drying fuels.

...Central Plains...
As the strong surface low continues to deepen and shift eastward
over the northern Plains and Midwest, a cold front will approach the
central Plains Thursday/Thursday night. This could support some dry
and breezy conditions behind the front within receptive fuels.
Westerly gusts of 15-20 mph and RH below 25% could support elevated
fire-weather conditions. However, some potential for rainfall in the
preceding days may temporarily limit fuels. The relatively confined
area and uncertainties on precipitation will preclude any highlights
for now.

..Lyons.. 05/14/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$