


Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
799 FNUS22 KWNS 140658 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0157 AM CDT Wed May 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...Synopsis... The upper trough over the western US will eject quickly eastward spreading strong mid-level flow atop the central Plains. A powerful lee cyclone will intensify further as it move into the Upper Midwest. A cold front and tailing dryline may support precipitation across parts of the Plains and Midwest States. Otherwise, dry and breezy conditions behind these features will favor some fire-weather risk. ...Southwest... Persistent westerly flow will continue across the Southwest Thursday. This will support another day of dry and windy conditions across parts of eastern AZ and southern NM. RH below 20% and winds of 15-20% amidst dry fuels will support widespread elevated to locally critical conditions. Some fire-weather risk may also extend into West TX behind an eastward mixing dryline. However, winds here may be somewhat weaker despite very warm surface temperatures and lower humidity. Locally elevated conditions are possible within drying fuels. ...Central Plains... As the strong surface low continues to deepen and shift eastward over the northern Plains and Midwest, a cold front will approach the central Plains Thursday/Thursday night. This could support some dry and breezy conditions behind the front within receptive fuels. Westerly gusts of 15-20 mph and RH below 25% could support elevated fire-weather conditions. However, some potential for rainfall in the preceding days may temporarily limit fuels. The relatively confined area and uncertainties on precipitation will preclude any highlights for now. ..Lyons.. 05/14/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$