


Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
278 FNUS22 KWNS 190659 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...Synopsis... A strong upper ridge is forecast to build over the Southwest as weak troughing continues over parts of the Northwest. A shortwave trough, embedded within the broader northern trough, will move eastward into the northern Rockies Wednesday. Increased southwesterly flow aloft will help monsoon moisture (PWATs 0.6-0.8 inches) advect northward over NV and western UT. A surface cold front associated with the upper trough will stall over the western Great Basin serving as a focus for thunderstorm development through the afternoon. Isolated and likely dry storms are expected over parts of NV and UT. A few storms may possibly continue overnight in eastern Idaho and northwest Wyoming. ...ID... In addition to the isolated risk for thunderstorms, the strong flow aloft and cold front will promote gusty west/southwest winds through portions of the Snake River Plane and northern Great Basin Wednesday. Afternoon gusts of 15-20 mph are possible ahead of the cold front. Very warm temperatures are expected under the ridge with afternoon humidity also expected to be low. With winds and low humidity overlapping with dry fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. Some dry and breezy conditions may also develop farther south over the Great Basin. However, increasing monsoon moisture along the front and more sporadic surface winds suggest lower confidence for sustained elevated fire-weather conditions. Localized dry and breezy could still occur, especially around any active fires given the very warm and dry conditions. ..Lyons.. 08/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$