Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
515 FNUS22 KWNS 031940 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0239 PM CDT Thu Sep 03 2026 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...Portions of the Northern Rockies and the Northern High Plains... An upper-level trough will remain over the Pacific Northwest while modest southwesterly flow aloft will persist over the northern Rockies and northern High Plains through D2/Friday. South-southwest winds are likely to remain elevated tonight as a surface low deepens across north-central MT into Friday. This surface low along with a amplifying low-level jet at 850 mb over the region will support poor overnight recoveries, only rising to 25-30% in some locations. A very dry boundary layer will persist through Friday across eastern WY and portions of the northern High Plains. RH reductions by mid-afternoon will be 10-15% across south-central MT and central WY with sub 10% RH most likely farther east across the northern High Plains. South to southwest winds of 15-20 mph aligned with low RH and receptive fuels will promote an elevated fire weather across the area Friday afternoon. ...Great Basin... Similarly dry, southwest flow southeast of the upper trough across the Pacific Northwest is expected across southeastern portions of the Great Basin Friday. Marginal fuels across southeastern NV and southwestern UT should mitigate a broader fire weather threat but localized elevated fire weather conditions could impact locations where recent rainfall was minimal and pockets of dry fuels remain. ..Williams.. 09/03/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1248 AM CDT Thu Sep 03 2026/ ...Synopsis... An additional day of Elevated fire weather conditions can be expected across the northern High Plains on Day 2/Friday. With the persistent large trough dominating the Northwestern CONUS, an upper-level jet streak will round it`s base and allow for stronger winds centered over ID on the afternoon of Day 2/Friday. Given the continued compact surface pressure gradient and well-mixed boundary layer over the region, windy and dry conditions will impact the surface, resulting in afternoon sustained southwesterly winds of 15-20 mph coincident with RHs of 10-20%. Again, portions of the southern to central Great Basin will experience similar wind/RH conditions, but fuels remain less receptive to ignitions. Meanwhile, upper-level ridging remains over the central CONUS, prolonging hot and dry conditions in the central and southern Great Plains. This continues to cure both dead and live fuels in the absence of widespread beneficial precipitation. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$