Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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828
FNUS22 KWNS 240601
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0100 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025

Valid 251200Z - 261200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain fairly localized on
Wednesday across the country. The upper trough currently migrating
into the lower Colorado River Valley is expected to begin
de-amplifying and drifting into the northern Rockies through the day
Wednesday. This will weaken winds across much of the Four
Corners/central Rockies where dry/breezy conditions have been
prevalent for the past several days. Little moisture recovery is
anticipated, so areas that typically see terrain-enhanced winds may
experience periods of elevated fire weather conditions Wednesday
afternoon. Currently, this appears most probable from northeast AZ
into eastern UT, but confidence in the coverage/duration of elevated
conditions is too limited for highlights.

Further to the west, zonal flow over the northern Sierra Nevada is
expected to increase as the weakening upper trough departs the Great
Basin. This will promote a downslope flow regime across northeast NV
and adjacent portions of CA and OR. Model guidance continues to show
uncertainty regarding the strength of the downslope winds and
potential for fire weather concerns. More aggressive solutions hint
that areas of elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions
are possible. Regardless, ERCs near or below the 80th percentile
should help modulate a more robust fire weather

..Moore.. 06/24/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$