Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
803
FNUS22 KWNS 071851
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 PM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

The latest high-resolution ensemble guidance continues to suggest
widespread breezy post-frontal northwesterly surface winds across
the northern High Plains tomorrow (Day 2/Sunday), with sustained
surface winds of 20-25 mph and gusts of 30-40 mph. Ensemble guidance
has also trended a bit drier in the low-levels, with minimum RH
values now forecast between 20-25% across portions of central into
northeastern Montana. Several hours of elevated to locally critical
fire weather conditions are likely tomorrow afternoon where fuels
are at least marginally receptive. While locally elevated fire
weather conditions may extend further southeastward, fuels generally
remain less receptive due to recent rainfall over the past week.

..Elliott.. 06/07/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0205 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025/

...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will deepen across the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley
region, promoting widespread showers/thunderstorms and/or the
overspreading of rich low-level moisture across much of the Plains
to the East Coast tomorrow (Sunday). As such, significant and
widespread wildfire-spread conditions should be limited across most
locales east of the Rockies. Similar to Day 1, dry conditions will
prevail across the Southwest tomorrow, though surface winds appear
too weak to warrant fire weather highlights. Widespread 20-25 mph
sustained northwesterly surface winds amid 25 percent RH are likely
in a post cold-frontal regime over the northern High Plains tomorrow
(Sunday) afternoon. However, fuels in this region are less
receptive, and have received relatively more recent rainfall
compared to far northeast Montana. As such, fire weather highlights
have been withheld for now.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$