Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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591
FNUS22 KWNS 041951
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0150 PM CST Tue Nov 04 2025

Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

...Piedmont/Mid-Atlantic...
A surface low will move into the Great Lakes region through
Wednesday bringing a trailing cold front into the Appalachians by
late afternoon/evening. Ahead of the cold front, increasing
southwest winds of 10-15 mph and limited boundary layer moisture
should result in several hours of elevated fire weather conditions
primarily across eastern WV and western VA. The breezy and
relatively dry conditions (RH values of 25-35%) amid dry fuels and
recent leaf fall will support an elevated fire weather threat
following poor overnight RH recoveries in higher terrain. Locally
elevated fire weather concerns could extend farther southwest into
NC and farther northeast into southeastern PA but alignment of
enhanced winds, low RH and dry fuels is limited.

..Williams.. 11/04/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1132 PM CST Mon Nov 03 2025/

...Synopsis...
An upper-level trough will move into the Great Lakes region on
Wednesday. At the surface, a low will deepen as it moves eastward
into the Northeast. A cold front will quickly shift eastward and
reach parts of the Mid-Atlantic coast by Thursday morning.

...Piedmont...
Ahead of the cold front, dry and modestly breezy conditions are
possible within parts of the Piedmont and potentially farther east
as well. Winds of 10-20 mph are probable. RH will be one of the main
questions during the afternoon. Where greater heating or more of a
downslope wind component off the Blue Ridge occurs, RH of 25-30%
would be possible. Fuels also do not appear to be overly receptive.
Locally elevated conditions are all that is expected.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$