Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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967
ACUS01 KWNS 040031
SWODY1
SPC AC 040030

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0630 PM CST Sat Jan 03 2026

Valid 040100Z - 041200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A risk for generally weak thunderstorm activity continues tonight
across parts of northern and central California, the northern
intermountain region and, perhaps, parts of northern and central
Florida.

...01Z Update...

...Florida...
Any appreciable lingering risk for thunderstorm activity now appears
confined to stronger convection along the leading edge of southward
advancing pre-cold frontal convective outflow.  Guidance suggests
that this will generally become focused across the offshore
northeastern Gulf and western Atlantic tonight.  Over land,
boundary-layer instability has waned, but it is possible that
forcing near intersecting surface outflows maintains a small
lingering cluster of thunderstorms across the interior northern
Florida peninsula for a couple more hours this evening.

...California...
Mid-level cooling/forcing for ascent associated with another
low-amplitude short wave trough approaching northern/central
California coastal areas may maintain at least low probabilities for
thunderstorm activity offshore and inland of coastal areas through
tonight.

..Kerr.. 01/04/2026

$$