657
ACUS01 KWNS 100046
SWODY1
SPC AC 100045

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0645 PM CST Sun Nov 09 2025

Valid 100100Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail
will be possible early this evening across parts of north-central
Florida.

...North-central Florida...
A large-scale mid-level trough will move through the Ohio and
Tennessee Valleys this evening. At the surface, a cold front will
advance eastward across the Carolinas, with the front extending
southwestward into northern Florida. Isolated thunderstorms will be
possible along and ahead of the front this evening. The RAP suggests
that moderate instability is present ahead of the front across
north-central Florida, where MLCAPE is estimated to be from 1000 to
1500 J/kg. This, combined with moderate deep-layer shear may support
a marginal severe threat early this evening. Cells that develop
within the stronger instability could produce marginally severe wind
gusts and hail, with the severe threat persisting for a few more
hours.

..Broyles.. 11/10/2025

$$