264
ACUS01 KWNS 090034
SWODY1
SPC AC 090032

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0732 PM CDT Wed Oct 08 2025

Valid 090100Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight.

...01z Update...

Dominant upper ridge remains anchored over the southern Plains early
this evening. This flow regime continues to favor a few minor
disturbances, and seasonally high PW values, advancing around the
periphery from northern Mexico into the Four Corners region. One
such feature appears partly responsible for ongoing scattered
convection across eastern AZ into northern NM. Some risk for
lightning continues across this region as 00z soundings from
TUS/FGZ/ABQ all exhibited fairly steep lapse rates with adequate
buoyancy for thunderstorms.

Downstream across the southeastern U.S., progressive upper trough is
advancing off the Middle Atlantic Coast early this evening.
Associated surface front has advanced to coastal NC/SC, extending
into the FL Panhandle. Isolated thunderstorms will be noted along
this boundary early this evening and then shift offshore with the
wind shift.

..Darrow.. 10/09/2025

$$