Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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WUUS01 KWNS 171249
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 AM CDT SAT MAY 17 2025
VALID TIME 171300Z - 181200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 45377199 43287170 42147214 41727328 42147447 43417538
45097584
0.02 29370182 34449931 35359922 36059963 36950115 37390129
37970092 37979998 37639844 36209408 34789187 34079083
33109067 32569121 32169278 31309601 30109836 28060071
0.05 34009501 33729460 33309446 32599456 32059558 31159784
31329890 31719924 32459926 33019886 33789740 34159618
34009501
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 29180204 30910129 33460009 35039964 36039993 36700086
37460283 38000313 38710298 38960186 38429699 37819371
37229148 34928579 34398291 34147944 33357505 99999999
31497813 31538508 31658787 31909132 31739436 31279598
30189814 28919974 27840054 99999999 38827296 40777461
42847727 44157786 99999999 45567137 43287065 40597059
0.15 45407202 43277170 42157214 41747325 42157445 43397538
45067584
0.15 29380168 31420052 33419918 34179867 34979860 35729881
36509995 37070070 37680070 37929994 37599605 37449479
36899308 36239193 35049115 33959094 33099130 32719212
32389400 31599616 30649811 29369984 28370066
0.30 32629901 33829760 34339647 34069516 33129458 32549487
31329791 31619895 32629901
SIGN 29360169 31420051 33439917 34189867 35009860 35759884
36509994 37070069 37700074 37929990 37799808 37059601
36259434 34609136 33959095 33109129 32719211 32389402
31599616 30659808 29409978 28380066 29360169
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 45547140 43277063 40567061 99999999 38607281 38607281
40767460 42817727 44167785 99999999 31547870 31508474
31678834 31869078 31749431 31289592 30189815 28909973
27840053 99999999 29210205 33460011 35059964 36019993
36730090 37430280 38030315 38690297 38960183 38369657
37299171 36368917 34938576 34388288 33447508
0.05 40421398 41721391 42201294 42441098 42340995 41770959
41030949 40441003 39791207 39861357 40421398
0.15 29440165 31480048 34169865 34989861 35739881 36489995
37080070 37690071 37939987 37419472 36909308 36229194
35039115 33989094 33079129 32729206 32379403 31599613
30649809 29359986 28350067
0.15 45387201 43287171 42167213 41757327 42137443 43397538
44987584
0.30 33759761 34359644 34049515 33119458 32559491 31349790
31619892 32609902 33759761
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 32639902 33799761 34309645 34069513 33129457 32559487
31339791 31629895 32639902
SLGT 45387202 43277170 42147213 41737328 42147445 43397538
45047585
SLGT 29460164 32060011 34139867 34989860 35749883 36489993
37080070 37700072 37939992 37439478 36919313 36229192
35039114 33979094 33099127 32749204 32389398 31619611
30639811 29349985 28370064
MRGL 31567915 31528502 31668834 31889082 31749435 31279597
30179815 28919974 27870052 99999999 29210204 33460010
35069964 36019993 36740092 37450282 38010314 38710298
38960185 38509754 38049479 37229149 34928576 34408298
34167971 33457535 99999999 38937305 38937305 40797464
42827726 44157786 99999999 45547140 43277065 40607060
MRGL 41661383 42211295 42401101 42320988 41760961 41000948
40401000 39841196 39871359 40421392 41661383
TSTM 28650384 30340291 32010163 33770056 34610032 35400032
36160093 36590262 36820381 37810461 38680505 39430735
39630869 39020976 37991027 37451128 36721230 36381326
36401508 36471664 36671747 37031794 37571854 38151872
38621876 38961933 39062006 39312088 39922140 40272128
41002184 41882170 43582131 44772084 45972098 46992088
49112125 49612139 99999999 49460624 47850677 46970611
46810402 46260292 44540217 42910165 41150130 39760139
39390132 39270046 40049879 40359745 39919453 39169130
38008874 36878700 35628565 35008436 35048166 34967846
35527498 99999999 38977366 39737428 40847483 41897631
42057756 42117890 42057996 42308138 42628191 43078237
44298188 99999999 31148005 30638469 30688783 31029130
31059318 30469560 29149747 27959818 26529944
&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE
ABI 50 SW ADM 25 N DUA 35 NNE PRX 40 SW TXK 15 NW GGG 30 WNW TPL 15
S BWD 40 ENE ABI.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE
EFK 10 WNW CON 15 SW ORH 30 ENE POU 35 NNE MSV 15 N UCA 50 W MSS.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W
DRT 35 SW ABI 15 NW SPS 25 NNW FSI 35 NE CSM 70 ESE LBL 15 ENE LBL
15 S GCK 10 NNE DDC 25 NW JLN 25 SSE SGF 30 E FLP 55 SSE BVX 35 N
GLH 30 SSW GLH 15 N MLU 10 WSW SHV 35 SSE CRS 35 NW AUS 40 W HDO 70
SSE DRT.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105
SSE CHS 30 ENE DHN 50 SSE MEI 35 ENE HEZ 40 NE LFK 50 NW UTS 30 WSW
AUS 45 NW COT 70 WNW LRD ...CONT... 60 S 6R6 70 S CDS 30 SW CSM 60
NW CSM 20 S LBL 15 NW SPD 20 E LHX 45 NNW LAA 30 SSW GLD 20 SSE SLN
45 NE CNU 40 NNE UNO 35 WSW CHA 15 WSW AND FLO 125 S HSE ...CONT...
90 ESE ACY 90 ESE ACY 25 WNW EWR 30 SE ROC 70 N ROC ...CONT... 60 NE
EFK 15 NNE PSM 55 SSW ACK.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 S
BYI 35 W MLD 50 WSW BPI 20 SSE BPI 30 WNW RKS 40 N VEL 25 W VEL 45
NE U24 40 WSW DPG 20 SSE ENV 60 S BYI.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 S MRF 40 S FST 15
SSW BGS 50 SSW CDS 10 N CDS 65 W CSM 40 NE BGD 30 ENE CAO 40 E RTN
35 S PUB 20 WSW COS 30 WSW EGE 35 NNW GJT 15 N CNY 35 SE 4HV 30 W
U17 50 WSW PGA 50 SSE SGU 20 N LAS 40 WSW DRA 70 SE BIH 35 SE BIH 15
NNW BIH 60 NNW BIH 60 S NFL 35 E TVL 10 NNW TVL 55 WNW TVL 50 ESE
RBL 50 E RBL 35 SE MHS 20 S LMT 45 S RDM 40 NNE RDM 25 NNE DLS 35
NNW YKM 60 ENE BLI 75 NE BLI ...CONT... 85 N GGW 25 SSW GGW 40 NNW
MLS 35 NNE BHK 40 S DIK 45 NW PHP 55 W VTN 30 W LBF 30 NNE GLD 20 E
GLD 35 WSW HLC 45 SSW HSI 35 W BIE 25 ENE STJ 55 ENE COU 25 SSE MVN
30 NE CKV 40 SW CSV 45 E CHA 20 ENE SPA 25 E FAY 40 ENE HSE
...CONT... 60 ESE ACY 20 S NEL 35 ENE ABE 25 SW BGM 35 WSW ELM 20 E
JHW 10 E ERI 65 WNW ERI 45 E MTC 40 NE MTC 65 ENE BAX ...CONT... 85
E SSI 25 NW TLH 25 E MOB 40 S HEZ POE 20 SSW UTS 40 WNW VCT 20 NNW
ALI 70 S LRD.