Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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833
WUUS01 KWNS 170550
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1248 AM CDT SUN AUG 17 2025

VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   44479803 44979793 45229696 45179535 44959461 44419439
       43599461 43239543 43189652 43579731 44479803
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   47450917 47710829 47710741 47520669 46150652 45720694
       45660887 45770978 46441005 47450917
0.05   43710357 43720115 43989995 44589886 45199736 45079592
       44899395 43259467 42429655 41169847 40409901 40520002
       41280107 42440367 43710357
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   46411006 47420920 47720839 47720596 47690487 47250341
       46050358 45360476 45650698 45650882 45770976 46411006
0.05   42420368 43740353 43710127 43969995 44699872 45219734
       44899385 43669148 42519079 41779118 41689196 41939337
       41439501 40259752 40389899 40500001 41260103 42420368
0.05   39987815 40727720 41287597 41337462 40917407 40257405
       39867461 39427515 38597597 38667628 38247699 38227798
       38547854 39397849 39987815
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MRGL   40267407 39617491 38367623 38247798 38587854 39447847
       40017815 40797709 41297594 41337464 40927410 40267407
MRGL   42430368 43730356 43750213 43720107 43989999 44679875
       45229738 44929386 43709150 42559078 41749118 41689199
       41939333 41389504 40239756 40490002 41270103 42000279
       42430368
MRGL   46421008 47440924 47740836 47730494 47260336 46030360
       45350477 45630689 45660890 45800983 46421008
TSTM   31401281 32131256 32821115 33391068 34031075 34861037
       35950892 35830790 35170734 35150633 35990601 37090584
       38630467 39580615 40940877 40871119 41331237 41091367
       41101625 40751751 41101861 40471983 40322086 40932192
       40822304 41242331 41942291 42792250 44142139 46651852
       47621464 48501216 50141079 99999999 49169165 47678872
       46518786 44188768 42928710 41628536 41188379 41448234
       42648174 99999999 44287751 43557495 43637314 45477187
       46447169 99999999 37907440 36527626 36507759 37107881
       36887993 34808225 34228325 33668395 32838454 32438370
       32898212 32838044 32807841 99999999 28319558 28369691
       28859711 30059718 31309589 31909587 32479626 32549722
       31569994 31670085 32470062 32890078 32660160 31820202
       30660221 29180170

&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE
NEL 20 WNW ACY 10 ENE NHK 25 ENE CHO 30 NE SHD 25 W MRB 20 SSE AOO
35 SSW IPT 10 WSW AVP 25 SSE MSV 15 NNE EWR 20 NE NEL.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE
TOR 35 SW RAP 35 SW PHP 35 SE PHP 30 SSE PIR 30 NW HON 25 NNW ATY 30
W MSP 20 SW LSE 10 NNW DBQ 30 ESE CID 20 SW CID 35 NNE DSM 45 SSE
DNS 45 W BIE 35 ENE MCK 20 WNW LBF AIA 35 NE TOR.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W
3HT 30 NNE LWT 70 NE LWT 35 W SDY 40 NW DIK 30 N 2WX 30 E 4BQ 60 N
SHR 20 WSW BIL 30 ENE LVM 10 W 3HT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 S GBN 55 S GBN 50
NNW TUS 70 WNW SAD 45 WSW SOW 25 ESE INW 30 NNW GUP 45 N GNT 30 E
GNT 15 ENE ABQ 25 N SAF 25 S ALS 15 S COS 40 E EGE 50 SSE RKS 30 SSW
EVW 20 WNW OGD 30 NE ENV 30 NW EKO 20 SE WMC 45 WNW WMC 65 N RNO 75
E RBL 35 SE MHS 50 SW MHS 45 ENE ACV 30 S MFR 35 NNE MFR 15 WSW RDM
40 NNW ALW 35 E 3TH 15 SE CTB 120 NNW HVR ...CONT... 90 N ELO 35 NNW
CMX 15 W MQT MTW 40 ENE RAC 45 SSE AZO 15 NNW FDY 25 W CLE 55 E MTC
...CONT... 75 WNW ART 35 NE UCA 10 NW RUT 45 NNE EFK 110 NNE EFK
...CONT... 60 E WAL 20 NNW ECG 10 NE RZZ 25 SE LYH 30 S ROA GSP 20
NNE AHN 30 E ATL 30 NE CSG 20 S MCN 35 SSW AGS 25 WSW CHS 70 SSE CRE
...CONT... 50 SE PSX 35 S VCT 10 W VCT 35 ESE AUS 45 NNW UTS 30 ESE
CRS 30 NNE CRS 20 SSE FTW 35 ENE SJT 30 NW SJT 55 ENE BGS 65 NE BGS
30 N BGS 15 SE MAF 45 N 6R6 50 WSW DRT.