Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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490
WUUS01 KWNS 200102
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025

VALID TIME 200100Z - 201200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   49550457 47430259 45550232 43870170 43580080 43199982
       42779684 42279384 42299025 41918876 41838842 41288825
       40798842 40428890 40449090 40429293 40009364 39469460
       39629762 39649989 39990252 40350314 40740339 41510363
       43880432 45180471 49860821
0.05   40580110 40619993 41079929 42179887 42129834 41009851
       40219893 40149932 40110012 40270080 40580110
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49600317 47560077 46380032 44580009 43539886 42889652
       42779355 42929128 41998885 41238853 40358847 39758855
       39639289 39069784 38569974 38400107 38280224 38630357
       39730458 41690497 44460615 47140774 50281065
0.15   49500404 47910282 45270118 44450077 43880042 43330006
       42859872 42529810 42259650 42179525 41759487 41459543
       41179674 40469894 40029943 39530015 39310108 39260177
       39480259 39680299 40460354 41440399 49810848
SIGN   43570245 42650211 42400355 45010466 47590604 48330648
       49270733 49120513 48130384 47500331 44020254 43570245
SIGN   40350175 40779997 42259848 42059819 41209865 40129957
       40050081 40060168 40350175
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   49550311 47570072 44509828 43329607 42959392 43808838
       44448598 44858412 45248165 99999999 42688100 40638160
       39448088 38997994 38347938 36898031 36227873 36327768
       37627701 38297715 38857665 38587481 37847495 36297543
       35237540 34867627 34997884 35968266 36378556 36668533
       37158366 37898257 39178312 40118433 40118705 39408919
       39139527 38249811 37969943 38050196 38540354 39670452
       40540480 41530494 44130597 47090768 49831029
0.15   39280178 40400184 42219917 42539809 42259631 42219227
       42269025 41868845 41368794 40778799 40318873 40329033
       40439302 40259483 40129618 39919676 39609723 39229785
       39069948 39030078 39280178
0.15   49490398 47690270 46000159 44820090 43960043 43080040
       42610205 42410358 42470422 43730500 47120649 49350713
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   49490398 47910282 46000159 43330006 42859872 42529811
       42259631 42269025 41868845 41368794 40778799 40318873
       40439302 40129618 39919676 39229785 39069948 39030078
       39280181 39350208 39480259 39680299 40460354 41440399
       49500831
MRGL   36787528 36297543 35237540 34867627 34997884 35968266
       36378556 36668533 37158366 37898257 39178312 40118433
       40118705 39408919 39139527 38249811 37969943 38050196
       38540354 39730458 40540480 41530494 44390612 45140656
       47140774 49510998 99999999 49490304 47570072 44509828
       43329607 42959392 43808838 44858412 45218187 99999999
       42688100 40638160 39448088 38997994 38347938 36898031
       36227873 36327768 37627701 38297715 38857665 38587481
       37847495
TSTM   49669916 47549813 46079747 44439489 44109382 44069326
       44149270 44309212 44988863 45868170 99999999 46277108
       46286937 45966855 44786802 43807038 43107328 42737604
       42427683 41777661 41677517 42447290 42977089 42306927
       99999999 33517747 34227935 34118118 33018365 32308395
       31798306 32268194 32328058 32067956 99999999 28159546
       29389667 30619695 33509329 34799116 35668990 37719129
       38089251 38169524 38079675 37869832 37150044 33990589
       30780625 99999999 31671368 34081039 35840767 37520739
       40170579 40570660 39080936 37141298 36131646 35951806
       36411876 37401941 38551916 39511464 42850989 45600971
       47271064 47821167 47811401 47911644 48151885 49382140

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 N
ISN 40 ESE ISN 30 E Y22 40 NE VTN 25 N ONL 30 E ONL 10 SSE SUX 25
ESE DBQ 35 NNE MMO 40 E MMO 45 NNW DNV 15 SE BMI 35 NW IRK 30 W FNB
25 S BIE 25 SSW CNK 30 SE HLC 55 ESE GLD 10 SW GLD 15 NE ITR 25 NW
ITR 35 SSE AKO 25 NW AKO 35 SSW BFF 95 NE HVR.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E
ORF 40 E ECG 10 E HSE 45 SW HSE FAY 10 ENE HSS 40 NW CSV 50 NNW CSV
25 ENE LOZ 30 S HTS 50 W UNI 15 NNW DAY 20 SSW LAF 35 SSW DEC 20 ENE
TOP 20 NW HUT 30 ENE DDC 40 E LAA 35 N LHX 15 E DEN 15 ENE FCL 25
NNW CYS 30 W GCC 35 NE SHR 80 E LWT 65 N HVR ...CONT... 95 NNE ISN
35 E N60 10 NNW HON 35 SW OTG 30 NNE FOD 15 SE OSH 30 WSW APN 85 E
APN ...CONT... 60 NW ERI 20 SSW CAK 30 ENE PKB 10 NW EKN 25 W SHD 25
SE PSK 25 N RDU 10 SSE RZZ 20 ENE RIC 40 S DCA 20 E DCA 40 ENE SBY
30 ESE WAL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 N DVL 50 NNE JMS
65 NE ABR 10 SE RWF 10 SSE MKT 35 ESE MKT 20 NNW RST 35 NE RST 45 NW
GRB 105 ENE APN ...CONT... 110 NNE EFK 75 W HUL 35 WSW HUL 30 NE BHB
10 NNW PWM 25 SE GFL 25 S SYR 20 NNE ELM 30 SSE ELM 20 W MSV 20 E
PSF 10 SSW PSM 70 NE HYA ...CONT... 60 SSE ILM 20 E FLO 15 NNW CAE
20 N MCN 35 SSW MCN 50 SW VDI 25 E VDI 40 ENE SAV 65 SSE CHS
...CONT... 65 SE PSX 40 NNE VCT 35 W CLL 35 NW ELD 60 E LIT 35 SW
DYR 40 SE VIH 30 NW TBN 35 NNE CNU 35 WSW EMP 30 WSW HUT 30 ENE LBL
15 WSW 4CR 70 S ELP ...CONT... 85 SE YUM 25 WSW SOW 40 WSW 4SL 35 NE
DRO 45 WSW FCL 50 E CAG 30 NE CNY 35 E SGU 45 SW DRA 30 NW NID 60
ESE FAT 45 NNE FAT 50 ESE TVL 20 NNE ELY 20 NNE BPI 35 E LVM 35 ESE
GTF 25 NNW GTF 35 SSE GPI 55 WNW 3TH 40 SE OMK 65 NE BLI.