Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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422
WUUS01 KWNS 200521
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1219 AM CDT SUN SEP 20 2026

VALID TIME 201200Z - 211200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   37830258 37810311 37920360 38350391 38990395 39570389
       39990355 40200330 40240250 40080204 39840178 39400152
       38690148 38270172 38010201 37830258
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   36899731 37079682 37399554 37689396 37669317 37569281
       37399259 37079253 36609275 35749335 34309476 33159688
       32679847 32350032 32400122 32750172 33320197 34410202
       35240203 35870215 35980225 36810322 37550414 38200447
       39430445 40200427 40650394 41080314 41290243 41200186
       40960144 40270105 39280086 38260087 37730082 37360058
       36900026 36579964 36509904 36649827 36899731
0.15   38300171 38020202 37850246 37820309 37920362 38340391
       38980397 39560389 39990357 40190330 40230259 40090207
       39930187 39430153 38790147 38300171
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   37598910 35709340 34319479 33219674 32659843 32350029
       32410121 32770172 33350197 34240200 35330205 35890215
       36570292 37550415 38200450 39420449 40240427 40660396
       41080315 41300241 41220190 40930142 40270104 39190085
       38150090 37670082 36880028 36569963 36509899 36769778
       37279621 37869478 39459110 40438620 40278304 39728091
       38717870 38187803 37727784 37437791 37217809 36727873
       36647926 36898003 37538090 37938185 38248352 38218508
       38028794 37598910
0.15   34569539 34269597 33709712 33619780 33649849 33929879
       34129888 34399892 34659889 35059869 35609820 36149741
       36569630 36649555 36489488 36159450 35719442 35319446
       34989477 34569539
0.15   38000204 37830257 37820310 37950358 38340390 39010394
       39570387 39980358 40180331 40230253 40100206 39880180
       39430153 38730147 38280172 38000204
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   34659889 35059869 35609820 36149741 36569630 36649555
       36489488 36159450 35719442 35319446 34989477 34569539
       33709712 33619780 33649849 33929879 34399892 34659889
SLGT   39560389 39990357 40190330 40230253 40100206 39880180
       39430153 38730147 38280172 38000204 37830257 37820310
       37920362 38340391 38980397 39560389
MRGL   39420449 40240427 40660396 41080315 41300241 41220190
       40930142 40270104 39190085 37730082 36900026 36579964
       36509902 36569872 36809766 37279621 39459110 40438620
       40278304 39728091 38717870 38187803 37727784 37437791
       37217809 36727873 36647926 36898003 37538090 37938185
       38248352 38028794 37598910 35719338 34309476 33219674
       32659843 32350032 32400122 32750172 33320197 35330205
       35870215 37550415 38200450 39420449
TSTM   31290710 32180674 32560634 33880424 34810301 35260284
       35780287 36080324 36790431 37570497 40180599 41260691
       42610901 43230903 43940890 44430803 45100604 44700213
       43680082 42449941 41659886 40509858 39429858 39029853
       39349759 39949670 40599583 40849521 40929492 41539197
       42009047 42328505 42178287 42108244 41448002 41187823
       40877493 40567402 40297371 39807391 39007524 37927668
       35807909 35267948 35027943 34617883 34667810 35097459
       99999999 24909730 25449758 25869761 26849782 27509800
       28269790 29049732 29799652 30459515 30869360 31419091
       34578977 36028774 36798628 37298634 37518708 36888957
       35479312 32979447 30079790 28579966 27390046

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20
E LTS 30 NNW FSI 35 NNW CHK 30 ESE END 20 SW BVO 30 ESE BVO 10 SW
GMJ 20 WNW FYV 25 SW FYV  0 - FSM 10 WSW RKR 30 SE MLC 25 W GYI 45
ESE SPS 25 S SPS 15 WSW SPS 25 SE LTS 20 E LTS

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25
NNW LIC 25 SW AKO  0 - AKO 35 E AKO 35 SW IML 35 N GLD 10 ENE GLD
45 SSE GLD 55 ENE LAA 35 E LAA 20 SSE LAA 25 ESE LHX 10 SSW LHX 30
NW LHX 25 SW LIC 25 NNW LIC

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
30 SE DEN 45 NE DEN 50 NW AKO 10 W SNY 35 ENE SNY 50 NNW IML 30
NNE IML 25 WNW MCK 45 ESE GLD 15 SSW GCK 40 ESE LBL 20 NNE GAG 25
SW AVK 15 S AVK 35 NNE END 35 NNW BVO 35 S UIN 50 N IND 20 NNW CMH
35 SSW HLG 30 NNE SHD 25 E CHO 35 WNW RIC 35 W RIC 35 N AVC 35 ENE
DAN  0 - DAN 30 S ROA 20 SE BKW 35 SSW CRW 50 N JKL 20 W EVV 15
SSE MDH 35 NNW RUE 25 NW DEQ 25 NNE DAL 25 WSW MWL 40 W ABI 20 NE
BGS 40 NNW BGS 25 SSW LBB 20 WNW AMA 25 ESE DHT 20 NNE TAD  0 -
PUB 30 SE DEN

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW ELP 35 NW ELP
25 SW ALM 45 NNE ROW 35 NNE CVS 45 E TCC 25 SW DHT 25 S CAO 10 ENE
RTN 40 WNW TAD 55 WSW FCL 40 SSE RWL 20 SW LND 30 NNW LND 40 S COD
30 N WRL 40 SW 4BQ 50 NNW PHP 45 ESE PHP 30 ESE ANW 15 ESE BUB 10
SW HSI 40 NNE RSL 20 NE RSL 15 SSE CNK 25 S BIE 25 WSW SDA 15 ENE
SDA 30 ENE SDA 25 SSW CID 30 SSE DBQ 25 ENE AZO 30 S MTC 40 SSE
MTC 10 WNW FKL 30 NW UNV 30 ENE ABE 10 SE EWR 25 S JFK 30 SE NEL
15 SE DOV 30 SSW NHK 20 WSW RDU  0 - SOP 15 SSW SOP 25 S FAY 30
NNW ILM 60 E HSE ...CONT... 70 S BRO 35 SSW BRO 15 WSW BRO 50 NNE
MFE 15 S ALI 15 WSW NIR 30 WNW VCT 55 S CLL 25 SE UTS 30 WSW POE
25 ESE HEZ 20 NW UOX 45 SSW CKV 15 SSE BWG 25 N BWG 15 SSE OWB 25
S CGI 15 N RUE 45 NNE GGG 20 SW AUS 30 WNW COT 60 W LRD