Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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159
WUUS01 KWNS 241704
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2025

VALID TIME 241630Z - 251200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   41000427 39900371 39500332 38790329 38330382 38130509
       38530539 39170544 40110564 40730576 41320611 41810641
       42570659 42950634 42960550 42750489 41000427
0.02   32159043 33259258 33929566 34029747 32540052 32860213
       33570214 35270036 36030004 36449991 37059916 37509846
       37529695 37159562 36509451 35579345 35039185 34948917
       34818723 34608613 34048550 33448552 32778633 32038866
       32159043
0.05   34889583 34209815 33330061 34600064 35499987 36139933
       36409872 36949779 36939701 36619627 35709558 35139544
       34889583
0.10   36039895 36249819 36269770 36149720 35789715 35449743
       35169820 35169875 35289920 35569920 36039895
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   25958174 27368229 28458242 29138219 29458169 29278112
       27798039 26808000 25908009 25388029 25208072 25348114
       25958174
0.05   29490473 29870468 30930424 33220322 35340066 36549986
       37220075 37280399 37830491 38880568 39980579 41450726
       41970800 42300839 43060882 43430902 43740850 43820724
       43830627 42820396 41540285 40240186 39250007 38739814
       38639592 38189392 37099158 35868914 34938563 34698385
       34048218 33468171 32048299 30958661 30728869 30629046
       30989211 31429318 32659519 33469571 33839655 33839742
       33039822 32809885 31590063 30470159 29050213
0.15   31960104 32300259 33260248 34960057 36949873 37309782
       37349728 37069568 36539461 36309343 35329176 34999012
       34758856 34658670 34348600 34078575 33288575 32718595
       32198658 31878849 31919056 32849204 33819557 34019743
       33149905 31960104
0.15   39070546 39750538 39810447 39200409 38640407 38470451
       38590496 39070546
0.30   35679905 36069892 36709759 36749637 36359568 35989556
       35249555 34989611 35289742 35089869 35309902 35679905
SIGN   39170517 39710514 39830449 39140405 38640412 38460454
       38590491 39170517
SIGN   31970105 32290251 33140227 34820026 36849855 37239787
       37269727 37119664 36579544 35959518 35229558 34879636
       33949768 33159906 31970105
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   25968175 27358229 28448242 29148219 29458169 29278112
       27808039 26798000 25928009 25388029 25208072 25348114
       25968175
0.05   29490473 29870468 33230322 35340067 36549987 37220075
       37360390 37840491 38890569 39980580 41450728 41760817
       42650854 43350845 43800745 43840627 42980470 41570326
       40240187 39250007 38729814 38129589 37289331 36629139
       35858913 34928563 34698385 34048218 33468171 32048299
       30948661 30638901 30549041 30829250 31119342 31869415
       32919490 33729625 33859649 33869741 33189801 32789852
       31480010 30460160 29050212
0.15   35479268 34839094 34648971 34618848 34538672 34348599
       34088575 33348571 32728587 32048665 31498845 31478949
       31659123 32879457 33889618 34039745 33179904 32220002
       31810086 32300263 33240248 34960059 36919874 37039756
       36549462 35479268
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    35569920 36069892 36709759 36749637 36359568 35989556
       35249555 34989611 35289742 35089869 35289920 35569920
SLGT   39750538 39810447 39200409 38640407 38470451 38590496
       39070546 39750538
SLGT   33260248 34960059 36949873 37309782 37349728 37069568
       36539460 36309343 35329176 34758856 34658670 34348599
       34088575 33348571 32728587 32048665 31498845 31478949
       31849155 32849451 33889622 34029742 33149905 32220002
       31810086 32300263 33260248
MRGL   29148219 29458169 29278112 27808039 26808000 25908009
       25388029 25208072 25348114 25968175 27358229 28448242
       29148219
MRGL   29490473 29870468 33230322 35340067 36549987 37220075
       37280399 37830491 38890569 39980580 41450728 41760817
       42330841 43430903 43740850 43840627 42820396 41540285
       40240186 39250007 38739814 38639592 38189392 35868914
       34938563 34698385 34048218 33468171 32048299 30948661
       30638901 30549041 30829250 31119342 31839415 32089433
       32919492 33469577 33859651 33859742 33179799 32789852
       31480010 30470159 29330202
TSTM   48518951 46549213 46679348 47009438 47949432 49249314
       99999999 28519472 29259543 29999564 30859538 31559509
       32769514 33399583 33739661 33709723 33189771 32459830
       32329860 31899938 31200037 30300104 28720080 99999999
       29600491 32810410 34750277 35780232 36110360 36640448
       37600525 39230678 40190750 39901006 39181094 38481180
       38111245 37981379 37521573 36261813 36281873 36691927
       37381972 38402041 39632124 40402107 40432053 39831955
       39361906 39781802 41371637 41821380 41721264 43091121
       44491124 45511104 45891131 46951052 47260848 47280686
       46940494 44980273 44310205 42299629 39659269 37659002
       36218694 36088662 34998242 34417885 33687681

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N
CSM 50 SSW AVK 25 W PNC 20 W BVO 15 NE TUL 25 SE TUL 30 NNE MLC 20
WNW MLC 15 SE OKC 35 ESE CSM CSM 15 N CSM.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W
DEN 20 E DEN 25 WSW LIC 35 NE PUB 15 N PUB 20 SW COS 45 WNW COS 25 W
DEN.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW
LBB 40 NNW CDS 10 NNW AVK 30 SW ICT 25 SSE ICT 25 NE BVO 10 SE GMJ
15 W HRO 30 SSW BVX 35 NNE TUP HSV 25 NNE GAD 20 ENE GAD 20 SSE ANB
25 WNW AUO 25 SW MGM 50 E PIB 10 W PIB 20 NW HEZ 35 NNE GGG 10 ESE
DUA 30 SW ADM 60 NE ABI 25 SW ABI 35 NW SJT 35 NW MAF 45 SW LBB.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM OCF 35
ENE OCF 10 NW DAB 10 N VRB 10 NE PBI 15 ENE MIA 30 S MIA 40 NNE MTH
40 N MTH 15 S APF 15 ESE SRQ 40 NNE PIE OCF.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SW
MRF 50 SW MRF 40 N HOB 50 ESE BGD 70 WSW AVK 15 NE LBL 20 E TAD 40
SW PUB 50 W COS 50 WNW DEN 25 S RWL 50 ENE RKS 40 SSE LND 40 NW RIW
30 WSW WRL 50 SW GCC 45 W CDR 30 NNE SNY 25 SSW IML 15 SW HLC 25 W
SLN 25 NE EMP 40 SSW SZL 15 ESE DYR 25 WSW CHA 60 NNW AHN 45 SE AND
15 ENE AGS 40 WSW VDI 10 NNW CEW 15 NNE GPT 35 WNW ASD 40 SSW ESF 15
WNW POE 45 SSW SHV 30 SE GGG 40 NNW GGG 20 WSW PRX 10 SW DUA 40 SW
ADM 25 N MWL 25 W MWL 25 ENE SJT 45 NE 6R6 50 SSE 6R6.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NE GNA 20 S DLH 35
ENE BRD 45 NNW BRD 40 NE BJI 50 NNE INL ...CONT... 55 S GLS 10 NNE
LBX 30 NW HOU 10 NE UTS 30 NW LFK 30 NNE TYR 25 SW PRX GYI 30 W GYI
30 NW FTW 15 NNW SEP 25 WNW SEP 25 WNW BWD 15 SSE SJT 65 N DRT 45 S
DRT ...CONT... 75 SW MRF 35 NNE CNM 40 NE CVS 20 SE DHT 35 SW CAO
RTN 35 ENE ALS ASE 20 S CAG 40 ENE PUC 30 SSW PUC 55 NNE BCE 30 NNW
BCE 40 WNW CDC 60 NNE DRA 45 NNW NID 60 NNE BFL 25 ESE FAT 40 N FAT
40 SSW TVL 65 ESE RBL 65 ENE RBL 75 S AAT 25 NNE RNO 20 WSW NFL 35
SE LOL 40 SSW OWY 50 S BYI 35 SSW MLD 45 SW JAC 15 SSW WEY 20 SSE
BZN 10 NW BZN 50 NW 3HT 50 ENE LWT 65 S GGW 15 SSW GDV 55 SE 2WX 30
NW PHP 10 SSE SUX 30 SSW IRK 25 ESE FAM 15 WNW BNA BNA 15 WNW GSP 40
S FAY 75 ESE ILM.