631
WUUS01 KWNS 160549
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1248 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2025

VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   38950365 39410447 40480485 40910468 40970343 41890200
       42620089 42740016 42689963 42159940 41449941 40589986
       40080044 39480160 38950365
0.02   35627477 35887598 36437633 36827633 37347607 37557584
       37657505
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   48598907 47608985 46709086 45879372 43589622 38550048
       37160181 36990285 37140323 38670330 39040472 39760566
       40850625 41800564 42050497 42100360 43040248 44150001
       45489748 47569358 48839138
0.15   39540241 39970277 40510289 41060284 41610254 42090194
       42620098 42700023 42309979 41679968 40850007 40160074
       39580163 39540241
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   35437493 36037633 36637671 37097665 37627612 37977558
       38047454
0.05   48668886 46639073 45869356 43499589 38810001 37010169
       36940284 37140319 38730332 39010412 39440456 40770524
       41040478 40930360 41650243 42990159 43860035 45609715
       46979419 47729269 48929090
0.15   39830207 40620205 42100070 42279974 41629953 40929962
       40080050 39550156 39830207
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   41060284 41610254 42090194 42620098 42700023 42279974
       41629953 40929962 40080050 39550156 39540241 39970277
       40510289 41060284
MRGL   35437493 36037633 36637671 37097665 37627612 37977558
       38047454
MRGL   48668886 46639073 45869356 43499589 38810001 37010169
       36940284 37140323 38670332 39040472 39760566 40850625
       41800564 42050497 42100360 43040248 44150001 47569358
       48719159
TSTM   49810278 48740173 47849994 47329883 47229793 47319673
       47649574 48119481 48389392 48899234 99999999 47058353
       45238807 45058836 44648879 44198934 43598998 43209017
       41479134 40019194 39389205 38669198 38119183 37779144
       37499069 37418963 37498801 37688671 37528448 36948306
       36388270 35358239 34308238 33578264 32608320 32108360
       31908382 31768408 31698442 31728476 31858515 31968531
       32628567 33238605 33618649 33688698 33558743 33268772
       31998815 29348850 99999999 28548346 29958014 99999999
       34497544 34817701 35447851 35687920 35947975 36298001
       36808007 37607972 38947906 39957852 40427767 40737656
       40877514 40807382 40647324 40177215 99999999 26069937
       27849801 29539706 30799684 31429687 31859722 32069782
       32059841 32029926 32170022 32550076 33090122 33730180
       33950238 33820299 33410359 32620416 31330491 30090520
       99999999 32041682 32481677 32901651 33281578 33481508
       33561446 33431353 33481263 33841188 34821071 36620842
       37060817 37470831 38050860 38710937 38850990 38861076
       39031138 39471168 40051188 40541182 41141151 42301090
       43031074 44241107 45101142 45391236 45811288 46631300
       47411254 48041129 48440894 48700667 48950541 49430462

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE
SNY 35 SSE AIA 45 E AIA 25 SW VTN 15 WNW ANW 25 SSE ANW 15 NNE BBW
35 WNW EAR 10 SSE MCK 15 NNE GLD 20 NNW ITR 30 ESE AKO 30 NE AKO 10
ESE SNY.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE
HSE 20 SSW ECG 35 WSW ORF 30 WNW ORF 40 WSW WAL WAL 50 E WAL.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NE
GNA 10 NE ASX 30 NE STC 20 SW OTG 40 SSW HLC 10 E EHA 25 SSW SPD 35
WSW SPD 45 NNE LHX 15 N COS 40 W DEN 45 SW LAR 35 N LAR 40 W TOR 15
N BFF 35 ENE CDR 20 SE PIR 35 WNW HIB 55 NNE ELO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 NNE ISN 40 NNW
MOT 50 WSW DVL 30 NNW JMS 40 ENE JMS 30 N FAR 35 SE TVF 40 N BJI 25
WSW INL 55 ENE INL ...CONT... 55 NE ANJ 40 S IMT 40 NNW GRB 35 WNW
GRB 40 WNW OSH 25 SSE VOK LNR 35 SE CID 35 E IRK 40 NNE COU 10 ENE
JEF VIH 30 SE VIH 25 SW FAM 15 NNW CGI 45 SW EVV 25 E OWB 35 S LEX
45 SSE JKL 20 WSW TRI 10 ESE AVL 25 SE AND 40 WNW AGS 25 ESE MCN 40
S MCN 35 NE ABY 15 NNE ABY 15 NW ABY 35 WNW ABY 40 NNE DHN 40 E TOI
15 W AUO 25 SSW ANB 15 E BHM 15 WNW BHM 25 NNE TCL TCL 40 SE MEI 55
E BVE ...CONT... 65 NW PIE 70 E SGJ ...CONT... 50 SSE HSE 20 S EWN
30 W GSB 25 WSW RDU 15 SE GSO 15 NNW GSO 35 S ROA 25 NE ROA 40 E EKN
25 SSW AOO 30 SSE UNV 40 NNE CXY 20 NE ABE 10 N JFK 15 SW ISP 65 SE
ISP ...CONT... 70 W MFE 10 N ALI 50 N VCT 30 WNW CLL 25 ESE ACT 15 N
ACT 25 ESE SEP 20 SW SEP 25 NW BWD 35 WSW ABI 50 ENE BGS 55 SE LBB
LBB 40 WNW LBB 45 SSE CVS 55 E ROW 20 NNE CNM 35 S GDP 75 WSW MRF
...CONT... 45 SSW CZZ 20 WSW CZZ 20 N CZZ 35 SE TRM 20 WSW BLH 15
ESE BLH 60 NW GBN 35 W PHX 30 NNE PHX 15 S INW 15 SW FMN 20 N FMN 20
NE CEZ 50 SW MTJ 20 ESE CNY 10 WNW CNY 30 N 4HV 50 SW PUC 45 E U24
50 S SLC 20 SSE SLC 25 E OGD 45 WSW BPI 40 S JAC 30 S WEY 30 NNW WEY
15 NE DLN 20 WSW BTM 10 ESE 3DU 55 W GTF 40 N GTF 40 E HVR 35 N GGW
60 N OLF 95 NNW ISN.